When Public Policy Polling brought out a weekend poll giving Democrats a 12-point edge in the electorate, I didn't think it could get worse.
It did.
Monday, they have North Carolina plus-13 Democrats.
Showing posts with label 2012 polls. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2012 polls. Show all posts
Monday, November 5, 2012
Saturday, November 3, 2012
Silver will be tarnished
Nate Silver keeps following the state polls over the cliff - now giving President Obama an 83.7 percent chance of re-election.
DaTech Guy breaks it down.
Nate Silver may believe that Barack Obama is riding the greatest wave of his electoral possibilities but rather than looking at the record. Rather than looking at the fact that every single one of these polls show the public thinking the country is on the wrong track, rather than looking at the registration trends over the last 9 years as I did, rather than noticing that even pollsters don’t say their model is likely, he is looking at data that is at best suspect and insisting he is right with Chaping (sic) like dedication.
DaTech Guy breaks it down.
Nate Silver may believe that Barack Obama is riding the greatest wave of his electoral possibilities but rather than looking at the record. Rather than looking at the fact that every single one of these polls show the public thinking the country is on the wrong track, rather than looking at the registration trends over the last 9 years as I did, rather than noticing that even pollsters don’t say their model is likely, he is looking at data that is at best suspect and insisting he is right with Chaping (sic) like dedication.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)