Showing posts with label President Obama. Show all posts
Showing posts with label President Obama. Show all posts

Thursday, April 29, 2021

Public Sees Biden As More Moderate Than Obama

 

From NBC News:

Americans perceive Joe Biden as more moderate than Barack Obama at the same stage of his presidency, a new survey shows, even as progressive activists say the incumbent is governing to the left of the former president.

The perception of Biden as a moderate may be helping him win support from congressional Democrats in competitive parts of the country who might otherwise feel pressure to oppose his agenda.

In April 2009, the NBC poll found that 59 percent of registered voters saw Obama as "very" or "somewhat" liberal, while 30 percent saw him as moderate. A new NBC poll released Sunday finds that 44 percent see Biden as "very" or "somewhat" liberal, while 42 percent see him as "moderate."

This surprises me. While President Obama was a moderate in an attempt to get some Republican support, President Biden has asked for that support but refused to moderate his agenda to get it. The programs announced by President Biden are the most progressive of any president since Lyndon Johnson.

But I don't mind the public viewing him as a moderate. It just means the Republicans have failed in their effort to demonize him, and it will make it easier to get his programs through Congress and accepted by the public.

Tuesday, April 09, 2019

Obama Warns Dems Of The Danger Of Purist Ideology

(This photo of President Barack Obama is by Mark Makela / Getty Images at abcnews.go.com.)

I am a progressive Democrat, and I have been for about five decades. I am also a realist, who prefers small progress to no progress at all. I understand that it is extremely unlikely that I will ever find a political candidate that I will agree with on every single thing, and I don't require that.

Unfortunately, there are some people in the party I love who don't think that way. They demand a strict adherence to the principles of progressivism, and refuse to consider any candidate that disagrees with them on any issue. This is especially true of some Bernie Sanders supporters (who require complete agreement with Sanders for anyone to be considered progressive).

This is a dangerous viewpoint in these times. Donald Trump is a danger to this country, and it is extremely important to get him out of the White House in the next election. We don't need to replace him with a "perfect" progressive. Any Democrat who can beat Trump is OK in my book. Even a moderate Democrat would be better than Trump, and with a Democratic Congress would enact at least some of what progressives would like to see.

I am not alone in that view. President Obama also sees a danger in the "purist" ideology being spouted by some progressives. He made the following statements to a Berlin audience a couple of days ago, but the remarks were obviously aimed at members of the Democratic Party. He said:

"One of the things I do worry about sometimes among progressives in the United States —maybe it’s true here as well — is a certain kind of rigidity where we say, 'Uh, I’m sorry, this is how it’s going to be,' and then we start sometimes creating what’s called a 'circular firing squad,' where you start shooting at your allies because one of them has strayed from purity on the issues. And when that happens, typically the overall effort and movement weakens." 

"So I think whether you are speaking as a citizen or as a political leader or as an organizer … you have to recognize that the way we structure democracy requires you to take into account people who don’t agree with you, and that by definition means you’re not going to get 100 percent of what you want." 

"You should take some time to think in your own mind and continually refine and reflect, 'What are my core principles?' Because the danger is if you don’t know what your principles are, that’s when you compromise your principles away. You can’t set up a system in which you don't compromise on anything, but you also can’t operate in a system where you compromise on everything."

Thursday, November 22, 2018

Thoughts On Pelosi Becoming The Next Speaker


Much has been made of opposition to Nancy Pelosi becoming the next Speaker of the House on cable news programs. Those talking heads and pundits would have you believe this is a divisive issue among Democrats, and that Pelosi may not be able to get the votes to become Speaker. That's nonsense.

The truth is that Pelosi has strong support among the Democratic base. The Quinnipiac University Poll, the Politico / Morning Consult Poll, and the CBS News / SSRS Poll all show that the Democratic base supports Pelosi -- with many more supporting her than opposing her. Democrats like Pelosi, and respect her service to the party and the country. Her election to the speakership is not going to split the party.

There seems to be a feeling among some that the argument about Pelosi is between the progressive and the moderate/conservative Democrats -- with progressives being the ones wanting a Speaker other than Pelosi. Not true. Pelosi is a progressive, and many of those opposing her are not.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (New York) is one of the most progressive members of the new Congress, and she campaigned saying she would support someone other than Pelosi for speaker. But after talking with Pelosi and those who oppose her, she has realized that Pelosi is the progressive choice for speaker. She wrote this to her supporters:

“Right now, out of the field, I would say that [Pelosi] is the most progressive candidate. All of the rebellion for the Speakership are challenges to her right, and so I think it's important to communicate that. My standard in this is: I'm going to support the most progressive candidate that's leading the party, and right now, that is Nancy Pelosi, in terms of the running. I would like to see new, younger leadership, but I don't want new leadership that's more conservative.”

As of today, there is no one running against Pelosi for Speaker. There was some talk that Marcia L. Fudge (Ohio) was thinking about running against Pelosi, but after talking with Pelosi she changed her mind. She is now supporting Pelosi.

One reason there is no candidate that has come forth is that Pelosi has the votes in the Democratic caucus to be the caucus nominee on the House floor. The best another candidate could do would be to force the Speaker vote to a second round. That would be pointless.

While saying he would stay out of the race for Speaker, President Obama called Pelosi one of the most effective legislative leaders the country has ever seen, and said:

“Nancy is not always the best on a cable show or with a quick sound bite or what have you. But her skill, tenacity, toughness, vision, is remarkable. Her stamina, her ability to see around corners, her ability to stand her ground and do hard things and to suffer unpopularity to get the right thing done I think stands up against any person that I’ve observed or worked directly with in Washington during my lifetime.”

It's time to stop the nonsense arguments against Pelosi. She will be the next Speaker of the House -- and that's a very good thing for Democrats.

Wednesday, November 07, 2018

Obama (Not Trump) Is To Credit For The Better Economy

Donald Trump likes to claim credit for the better economy. But the truth is that the only claim he can make honestly is that, at least so far, he hasn't screwed it up. The improving economy started under the presidency of Barack Obama.

The following charts and facts are from forbes.com:


Bush’s last four years in office:
  • 2005: 210,000 per month or 2.52 million for the year
  • 2006: 175,000 per month or 2.09 million
  • 2007: 96,000 per month or 1.15 million 
    • Last six months averaged 55,000 per month
  • 2008: Negative 297,000 per month (recession takes hold) 
    • Lost 3.6 million jobs
Obama’s eight years:
  • 2009: Negative 422,000 per month
    • Lost 5.1 million jobs (teeth of the recession)
  • 2010:  88,000 per month or 1.05 million for the year
  • 2011: 174,000 per month or 2.09 million
  • 2012: 179,000 per month or 2.14 million
  • 2013: 192,000 per month or 2.3 million
  • 2014: 250,000 per month or 3 million
  • 2015: 226,000 per month or 2.7 million
  • 2016: 187,000 per month or 2.24 million
Trump’s through September:
  • 2017: 182,000 per month or 2.19 million
  • Through September 2018: 208,000 per month or 2.5 million run rate


Bush’s last four years in office:
  • December 2005: 4.9%
  • December 2006: 4.4%, decreased 0.5%
  • December 2007: 5.0%, increased 0.6%
  • December 2008: 7.3%, increased 2.3%
Obama’s time in office
  • December 2009: 9.9%, increased 2.6%(teeth of the recession)
  • December 2010: 9.3%, decreased 0.6%
  • December 2011: 8.5%, decreased 0.8%
  • December 2012: 7.9%, decreased 0.6%
  • December 2013: 6.7%, decreased 1.2%
  • December 2014: 5.6%, decreased 1.1%
  • December 2015: 5.0%, decreased 0.6%
  • December 2016: 4.7%, decreased 0.3%
Trump’s through September:
  • December 2017: 4.1%, decreased 0.6%
  • September 2018: 3.7%, decreased 0.4%

Sunday, July 08, 2018

Most Of The World Has A Poor Opinion Of Trump




We know that Trump's likability and job approval numbers are upside-down in the United States, and are unlikely to improve (since the public doesn't think he is honest or qualified). What does the rest of the world think about Trump? It turns out that his numbers in most countries are even worse than in the United States.

Confidence in the U.S. presidency has dropped from 64% under President Obama to only 22% under Donald Trump. And his unpopularity has hurt the reputation of this country -- causing it to fall from a favorable rating of 64% under Obama to 49% under Trump.

The survey also showed that most people in other countries disapprove of Trump's policies, and attribute negative characteristics to him -- with 75% saying he is arrogant, 65% saying he is intolerant, and 62% saying he is dangerous.

The chart below shows how the citizens of each country surveyed view Trump as compared to Obama. Only two countries view Trump more favorably than Obama -- Russia and Israel. All of the others viewed Obama more favorably -- most by a wide margin.

These chart are from a Pew Research Center global survey in 2017.


Thursday, January 25, 2018

Trump Has Seriously Damaged Relations With Latin America



These charts were made from a recent survey the Gallup Poll did in Latin American countries. They questioned 500 to 1,000 people in each country between April and November of 2017. The margin of error for each country ranges between 3.6 and 5.4 points.

Note that while President Obama had a very good rating in these countries in 2009, Donald Trump does not. In fact, Trump's rating is significantly lower in every one of these countries.

And it gets worse. When asked whether Donald Trump will strengthen or weaken relations between the U.S. and their country, the residents of every country overwhelmingly said he would weaken those relations. They have no faith in Trump's ability to lead and improve the world situation.

Friday, January 19, 2018

Public Gives Obama More Credit Than Trump For Economy


Donald Trump continually brags about how good he has been for the economy. He would like Americans to think the economy wasn't improving until he became president, and that he is wholly responsible for the current improved economy.

But the American people aren't buying what he's trying to sell them. They know that it was President Obama who turned the economy around, and that Trump has done nothing to change that. About 56% of the public gives Obama a great deal/moderate amount of credit for the current economy, while 49% say the same about Trump. That's a 7 point gap in favor of President Obama. That has to be a dagger through the heart of the narcissist currently occupying the White House.

The chart shows the results of a recent Gallup Poll -- done between January 8th and 14th of a random national sample of 1,499 adults, with a 3 point margin of error.

Global Approval Of U.S. Leadership Dropped Under Trump



These charts are from a newly-released Gallup Poll. They questioned approximately 1,000 people in each of 135 different countries, and the margin of error is about 2 points. The poll shows that in the last year (since Trump took office) there has been a sharp drop in the number of people that approve of United States leadership on world problems.

Under President Obama, the approval of U.S. leadership was 48% worldwide, and disapproval only 28% -- a healthy positive gap of 20 points. But under Trump, that approval has dropped by 18 points to about 30% (even lower than the global disappointment with George W. Bush), a disapproval has climbed to 43% -- resulting in a negative gap of 13 points.

The world believes Trump when he says "America first", and they no longer believe the United States can provide leadership that is fair to all parties. They believe Trump will toss them under the bus to get a few more dollars for American corporations.

And it gets even worse. The United States was the most trusted leader under President Obama. Under Trump, they finish in third.

2016 leadership approval:
United States..........48%
Germany..........41%
China..........31%
Russia..........26%

2017 leadership approval:
Germany..........41%
China..........31%
United States..........30%
Russia..........27%

To be blunt -- Donald Trump has seriously damaged the reputation of the U.S. among the people of the world, and he has ceded world leadership to other countries.

Saturday, December 30, 2017

2017 Saw Trump Damage U.S. Reputation In The World


The chart above is from the Pew Research Center. It shows that by the end of his term, Bush had damaged the U.S. reputation in Western Europe (specifically in Germany, France, United Kingdom, and Spain). It took several years to tank the U.S. reputation, but by the end of his second term, Bush had it at a very low level.

The election of Barack Obama immediately re-established that respect, and he maintained it at a high level for the eight years of his term. The Trump was elected, and it took him only moths to damage that reputation even worse than Bush had.

The chart below shows that is not only the opinion of those four Western democracies in Europe. It is a global average. It shows confidence in the U.S. has plunged globally since Trump was sworn in, and an unfavorable view of the U.S. has climbed sharply.


Sunday, December 17, 2017

Trump Has Not Lived Up To His Tough Anti-Immigration Talk


Trump made deportation of undocumented immigrants one of his campaign promises (and the building of a wall to prevent further immigration). And once taking office, he appointed a Homeland Security director and Attorney General that agreed with his tough stance on undocumented immigration. Has he lived up to that promise?

The answer would have to be NO. In the first year of his presidency, Trump has overseen 177,000 fewer deportations than President Obama did in his first year -- and in fact, Trump's first year deportation numbers are lower than in any year of President Obama's 8-year term.

Part of the reason is that, in spite of an increase in immigration arrests, there have been 150,000 fewer arrests at or near the border. Fewer people are trying to enter the country without documentation -- which gives the lie to Trump's claim that a massive invasion of people is happening, and a wall is needed. The truth is that the wall (a $20-$30 billion dollar boondoggle) is not needed.

Tuesday, December 12, 2017

Republicans And Trump Voters Still Believe The "Birther" Lie


This is both amazing and shocking to me. And it shows just how far the Republican Party has moved from reality. We have seen President Obama's birth certificate (both short and long forms), read the newspaper announcement of his birth, and had Hawaii officials assure us that he was born in their state. His American birth (and citizenship) has been proven beyond doubt.

But many Republicans still prefer to believe the "birther" lies that claim he was born in Kenya. That's the belief of 51% of Republicans -- and of 57% of Trump voters. Reality and facts mean nothing to these people. They believe what they want to believe.

The chart above was made from a recent Economist / YouGov Poll -- done between December 3rd and 5th of a random national sample of 1,500 adults, with a margin of error of 3.4 points.

Wednesday, October 25, 2017

Public Believes You Can't Govern By Dividing People

If you have to win a campaign by dividing people, you’re not going to be able to govern. You won’t be able to unite them later if that’s how you start. -- President Obama


The chart above is from a new Rasmussen Poll -- done on October 22nd and 23rd of a random national sample of 1,000 likely voters, with a 3 point margin of error. It shows that a large majority of Americans (63%) agree with President Obama that a candidate that wins by dividing Americans (Trump) cannot effectively govern. President Bush offered a similar statement also. 

Trump squeaked out a win in 2016 by appealing to the hatred of a minority of Americans. He is now having trouble trying to govern, and wants to blame everyone else for that (even members of his own party). But the truth is that he killed his own chance to govern effectively by promoting a policy of division (and continues to do that).

Tuesday, October 17, 2017

Trump's Spiteful Agenda Is Because He Can't Measure Up To President Obama In Any Way

 In a press conference yesterday, Donald Trump stated that he and President Obama were opposites. That is probably the truest statement he has made since being sworn in last January.

And when you compare those opposites, Trump comes up wanting in every comparison. That's probably why he has made it a point to try and destroy every one of President Obamas accomplishments. Those accomplishments make Trump's desires seem small and pathetic -- and Obama's character shows the many defects in Trump's own character.

Here is part of an excellent op-ed by Charles M. Blow in the New York Times on this subject:

It must be cold and miserable standing in the shadow of someone greater and smarter, more loved and more admired. It must be infuriating to have risen on the wings of your derision of that person’s every decision, and even his very existence, and yet not be able to measure up — in either stratagem or efficacy — when you sit where that person once sat.
This is the existence of Donald Trump in the wake of President Barack Obama. Trump can’t hold a candle to Obama, so he’s taking a tiki torch to Obama’s legacy. Trump can’t get his bad ideas through Congress, but he can use the power of the presidency to sabotage or even sink Obama’s signature deeds.
In fact, if there is a defining feature of Trump as “president,” it is that he is in all ways the anti-Obama — not only on policy but also on matters of propriety and polish. While Obama was erudite, Trump is ignorant. Obama was civil, Trump is churlish. Obama was tactful, Trump is tacky.
There is a thing present in Obama and absent from Trump that no amount of money or power can alter: a sense of elegant intellectualism and taste.
The example Obama set makes the big man with the big mouth look smaller by the day. But I believe that this nonadjustable imbalance is part of what has always fueled Trump’s rage against Obama. Trump, who sees character as just another malleable thing that can be marketed and made salable, chafes at the black man who operated above the coarseness of commercial interests and whose character appeared unassailable.
America — even many of the people who were staunch opponents of Obama’s policies — admired and even adored the sense of honor and decency he brought to the office. Trump, on the other hand, is historically unpopular, and not just in America. As The Pew Research Center pointed out in June: “Trump and many of his key policies are broadly unpopular around the globe, and ratings for the U.S. have declined steeply in many nations.” Trump is reviled around the globe and America’s reputation is going down with its captain.
All of this feeds Trump’s consuming obsession with undoing everything Obama did. It is his personal crusade, but he also carries the flag for the millions of Americans — mostly all Republicans — who were reflexively repulsed by Obama and the coalition that elected him. . . .
Trump isn’t governing with a vision, he’s governing out of spite. Obama’s effectiveness highlights Trump’s ineptitude, and this incenses Trump.

Sunday, October 15, 2017

Public Opposes Trump's Overturning Of Clean Air Regs


President Obama signed the Paris Accord to reduce global warming, and then issued an executive order that would have reduced carbon dioxide emissions from power plants by 1/3 in the next 13 years. Donald Trump has reversed course for this country. He has withdrawn the U.S. from the Paris Accords and issued orders negating the Clean Air Initiative of President Obama.

But it turns out that, once again, Trump is acting in opposition to the wishes of a majority of Americans. About 56% of the public favors keeping the Obama regulations to cut carbon dioxide emissions by 1/3, while only 33% opposed those regulations. Trump may be making his base happy, but he is hurting himself with the general population.

The chart reflects the result of a new Rasmussen Poll -- done on October 10th and 11th of a random national sample of 1,000 likely voters, with a 3 point margin of error.

Tuesday, September 05, 2017

President Obama's Inauguration Day Letter To Trump

Last January, as he vacated the White House, President Obama left a letter for Donald Trump with some good advice. Sadly, it looks like Trump has ignored most of it.

From CNN, here is that letter:

Congratulations on a remarkable run. Millions have placed their hopes in you, and all of us, regardless of party, should hope for expanded prosperity and security during your tenure.
This is a unique office, without a clear blueprint for success, so I don't know that any advice from me will be particularly helpful. Still, let me offer a few reflections from the past 8 years.
First, we've both been blessed, in different ways, with great good fortune. Not everyone is so lucky. It's up to us to do everything we can (to) build more ladders of success for every child and family that's willing to work hard.
Second, American leadership in this world really is indispensable. It's up to us, through action and example, to sustain the international order that's expanded steadily since the end of the Cold War, and upon which our own wealth and safety depend.
Third, we are just temporary occupants of this office. That makes us guardians of those democratic institutions and traditions -- like rule of law, separation of powers, equal protection and civil liberties -- that our forebears fought and bled for. Regardless of the push and pull of daily politics, it's up to us to leave those instruments of our democracy at least as strong as we found them.
And finally, take time, in the rush of events and responsibilities, for friends and family. They'll get you through the inevitable rough patches.
Michelle and I wish you and Melania the very best as you embark on this great adventure, and know that we stand ready to help in any ways which we can.
Good luck and Godspeed,
BO

Friday, June 23, 2017

Senate GOP Releases Its "Health" Bill - And It's Really Bad

(Cartoon image is by Bill Day at cagle.com.)

When the House of Representatives passed their "repeal and replace" of Obamacare -- the AHCA -- many Republican senators said it was dead on arrival. They were not telling the truth.

Majority Leader McConnell and a few of his closest henchmen took that House bill behind closed doors -- and they resuscitated it. They brought it back to life, and then they made it even worse. The House bill would have taken insurance away from at least 23 million Americans -- primarily through huge cuts to Medicaid, and severely cutting insurance subsidies. That wasn't good enough for the hard-hearted Senate Republicans. The cut the number of people who can get a subsidy by lowering eligibility from 400% of poverty level to 350%. Then they made even deeper cuts to Medicaid.

That wasn't enough though. They then gave states the right to waive the benefits required in insurance policies sold to the public. This means that we'll again see cheap policies sold that won't cover most of the things people need insurance for (emergency rooms, long-term care, drug/alcohol treatment, medical care without a cap, etc). Those policies will be cheaper -- util the consumer tries to use them.

For those who want to keep their essential benefits, this GOP bill will insure their premiums continue to go up. They'll go up because Americans will no longer be required to have health insurance, and employers will no longer be required to provide insurance for their employees. This means there will be less people with insurance -- and insurance companies will have to raise premium prices to compensate for that. They'll also have to raise premiums because this bill does nothing to control the fast-rising cost of medical care in the United States.

But this was never about providing decent health care for Americans anyway. The Republicans don't believe health care is a right. They think it's just another product to be sold to those who can afford it. This was a tax cut for the rich bill -- not a health care bill. The taxes that funded Obamacare were all repealed, and some of the rich will even get a refund of those taxes. And the Republicans didn't mind throwing 80% of Americans under the bus to achieve those tax cuts for the rich (their real constituency).

I could go on with my rant, but I think President Obama probably said it better with his Facebook post. He wrote:

Our politics are divided. They have been for a long time. And while I know that division makes it difficult to listen to Americans with whom we disagree, that’s what we need to do today.
I recognize that repealing and replacing the Affordable Care Act has become a core tenet of the Republican Party. Still, I hope that our Senators, many of whom I know well, step back and measure what’s really at stake, and consider that the rationale for action, on health care or any other issue, must be something more than simply undoing something that Democrats did. 
We didn’t fight for the Affordable Care Act for more than a year in the public square for any personal or political gain – we fought for it because we knew it would save lives, prevent financial misery, and ultimately set this country we love on a better, healthier course. 
Nor did we fight for it alone. Thousands upon thousands of Americans, including Republicans, threw themselves into that collective effort, not for political reasons, but for intensely personal ones – a sick child, a parent lost to cancer, the memory of medical bills that threatened to derail their dreams.
And you made a difference. For the first time, more than ninety percent of Americans know the security of health insurance. Health care costs, while still rising, have been rising at the slowest pace in fifty years. Women can’t be charged more for their insurance, young adults can stay on their parents’ plan until they turn 26, contraceptive care and preventive care are now free. Paying more, or being denied insurance altogether due to a preexisting condition – we made that a thing of the past. 
We did these things together. So many of you made that change possible.
At the same time, I was careful to say again and again that while the Affordable Care Act represented a significant step forward for America, it was not perfect, nor could it be the end of our efforts – and that if Republicans could put together a plan that is demonstrably better than the improvements we made to our health care system, that covers as many people at less cost, I would gladly and publicly support it. 
That remains true. So I still hope that there are enough Republicans in Congress who remember that public service is not about sport or notching a political win, that there’s a reason we all chose to serve in the first place, and that hopefully, it’s to make people’s lives better, not worse. 
But right now, after eight years, the legislation rushed through the House and the Senate without public hearings or debate would do the opposite. It would raise costs, reduce coverage, roll back protections, and ruin Medicaid as we know it. That’s not my opinion, but rather the conclusion of all objective analyses, from the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office, which found that 23 million Americans would lose insurance, to America’s doctors, nurses, and hospitals on the front lines of our health care system.
The Senate bill, unveiled today, is not a health care bill. It’s a massive transfer of wealth from middle-class and poor families to the richest people in America. It hands enormous tax cuts to the rich and to the drug and insurance industries, paid for by cutting health care for everybody else. Those with private insurance will experience higher premiums and higher deductibles, with lower tax credits to help working families cover the costs, even as their plans might no longer cover pregnancy, mental health care, or expensive prescriptions. Discrimination based on pre-existing conditions could become the norm again. Millions of families will lose coverage entirely. 
Simply put, if there’s a chance you might get sick, get old, or start a family – this bill will do you harm. And small tweaks over the course of the next couple weeks, under the guise of making these bills easier to stomach, cannot change the fundamental meanness at the core of this legislation.
I hope our Senators ask themselves – what will happen to the Americans grappling with opioid addiction who suddenly lose their coverage? What will happen to pregnant mothers, children with disabilities, poor adults and seniors who need long-term care once they can no longer count on Medicaid? What will happen if you have a medical emergency when insurance companies are once again allowed to exclude the benefits you need, send you unlimited bills, or set unaffordable deductibles? What impossible choices will working parents be forced to make if their child’s cancer treatment costs them more than their life savings?
To put the American people through that pain – while giving billionaires and corporations a massive tax cut in return – that’s tough to fathom. But it’s what’s at stake right now. So it remains my fervent hope that we step back and try to deliver on what the American people need. 
That might take some time and compromise between Democrats and Republicans. But I believe that’s what people want to see. I believe it would demonstrate the kind of leadership that appeals to Americans across party lines. And I believe that it’s possible – if you are willing to make a difference again. If you’re willing to call your members of Congress. If you are willing to visit their offices. If you are willing to speak out, let them and the country know, in very real terms, what this means for you and your family.
After all, this debate has always been about something bigger than politics. It’s about the character of our country – who we are, and who we aspire to be. And that’s always worth fighting for.

Saturday, June 17, 2017

Trump Reversal Of Obama Cuban Policy Mostly Bluster & BS

(Caricature of Donald Trump is by DonkeyHotey.)

"I am canceling the last administration's completely one-sided deal with Cuba." 

Those were the words of Donald Trump on Friday. He made it sound like everything President Obama had done regarding Cuba would be reversed. And I've noticed on social media that many people have accepted that as fact. It is NOT true. The truth is that Trump changed very little -- and most of Obama's accomplishments remain in place.

Trump said he would more strictly enforce the Cuban embargo. That was pure BS. That embargo was passed by Congress, and they are the only ones that can change it in any way. All Trump can do is enforce what Congress passed -- just like every president since John Kennedy has done.

Did Trump close our consulate in Havana, and kicked the Cuban officials out of their consulate in the U.S.? NO! Both consulates remain open and doing business just as they were.

Did Trump make it illegal for people to buy Cuban products and bring them back to the U.S.? NO! People can still buy Cuban cigars, rum, and other products -- just like they did under President Obama.

So, what was changed. Trump did ban people from traveling to Cuba purely for tourism. But even that was not a complete ban. There are 12 exceptions to the Cuban travel ban, and anyone who really wants to go there can surely find a way to fit in one of those exceptions. The exceptions are:

  • * Educational activities in Cuba for schools, including people-to-people exchanges open to everyone
  • * Professional research and professional meetings in Cuba
  • * Public performances, clinics, workshops, athletic and other competitions, and exhibitions in Cuba
  • * Religious activities in Cuba
  • * Humanitarian projects in Cuba
  • * Journalistic activities in Cuba
  • * Family visits to close relatives in Cuba
  • * Activities in Cuba by private foundations, or research or educational institutes
  • * Support for the Cuban people
  • * Exportation, importation, or transmission of information technologies or materials
  • * Certain authorized export transactions including agricultural and medical products, and tools, equipment and construction supplies for private use
  • * Official business of the US government, foreign governments, and certain intergovernmental organizations
  • He did ban Americans from spending money in Cuba that would go to support the Cuban military. Those coming back from Cuba will be subject to an audit on where they spent money while there. We'll have to see how this is enforced to know whether it will pose an onerous burden on travel to Cuba. How are people to know when they spend money there that that money will eventually wind up with the Cuban military? And what will be the penalties if they knowingly spent such money?
  • Trump tried to act like he was doing big things to reverse Obama's Cuban policies. That was just bluster and BS. He actually did very little.
  • Marco Rubio should be feeling very foolish today. He sold out to Trump and defended him in the Senate hearings because Trump had promised him the reversal of Obama's Cuban policies. Now it looks like Rubio's purchase price was very cheap.
  • Thursday, April 20, 2017

    Well, This Is Embarrassing (For Donald Trump)

    (Photo of Trump opposing the Iran deal is from Robert Kelly's Asian Security Blog.)

    During the presidential campaign, Donald Trump complained endlessly about the deal President Obama negotiated with Iran to prevent them becoming a nuclear power. He called it disastrous and humiliating, and promised to either re-negotiate it or dump it once he became president. It was one of the issues that right-wingers loved from Trump.

    Well, it looks like things have changed, and it's just one more thing that candidate Trump was wrong about. His administration has now admitted that the Iran deal is working, and Iran is keeping their part of the bargain.

    Here is how Adrienne Masha Varkiana puts it at Think Progress:

    After almost two years of Donald Trump railing against the Iranian nuclear agreement, his administration admitted that Iran is complying with its obligations under the deal. And its likely that the United States will do the same — pending further review.

    Late on Tuesday, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson sent a letter to House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI) informing him that Iran is fully compliant with the 2015 Iranian nuclear agreement, known as Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA).

    The letter marks the first time the White House has certified Iran’s compliance with the deal, under which a review to Congress is required by the administration every 90 days.

    Despite noting Iran’s compliance with the JCPOA — which has repeatedly been certified by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) — Tillerson’s statement on Monday said the United States would have to review the agreement and decide whether to continue suspending U.S. nuclear-related sanctions on Iran, a key requirement of the international agreement.

    “Iran remains a leading state sponsor of terror through many platforms and methods,” Tillerson’s letter read, adding that Trump has ordered an interagency review to determine whether suspending sanctions on Iran “is vital to the national security interests of the United States.”

    The JCPOA limited Iran’s nuclear program, in exchange for relief from sanctions imposed by the United States, the European Union, and the United Nations. It did not address Iranian foreign policy. If the Trump administration chooses not to suspend nuclear-related sanctions on Iran, it could be seen as a U.S. violation of the deal.

    Thursday, March 23, 2017

    Public Doesn't Believe Obama Wiretapped Trump


    Donald Trump refuses to back off his accusation (i.e., LIE) that President Obama wiretapped him during/after the 2016 campaign. He sticks to that lie even though FBI Director Comey, the Justice Department, and our intelligence agencies say there is no proof that it happened.

    But he needs to drop that accusation, and admit he was wrong. That's because the American people, by a huge margin, don't believe it happened. Two-thirds of the public (66%) think he was NOT wiretapped by Obama, while only one-third (34%) think it did happen. By continuing to lie about this, Trump is just further destroying his credibility with the American people.

    These results are from the recent Harvard / Harris Poll done between March 14th and 16th of a random national sample of 2,092 registered voters. (No margin of error was given)

    Friday, January 20, 2017

    Public Believes Trump Will Destroy Most Of Obama's Legacy


    President Obama has, in my opinion, been a good president -- and has accomplished a remarkable amount of good, in spite of a concerted effort by congressional Republicans to obstruct everything he tried to do. And it looks like a significant majority of Americans agree -- with his current job approval being very high.

    But the public also believes Donald Trump, with the help of the GOP-controlled Congress, will destroy most of President Obama's accomplishments. A whopping 83% of the population believes that, while only 12% thinks most of Obama's accomplishments will survive the Trump presidency.

    Personally, I have to agree with the 83%. I think this country is in for a dark and very troubling time in the coming few years. The best we can hope for at this point is that Senate Democrats can filibuster away the worst Republicans/Trump atrocities, and we can vote Trump out of office in 2020.

    The chart above is from information in a new Rasmussen Poll -- done on January 15th and 16th of a random national sample of 1,000 likely voters, with a margin of error of 3 points.