Showing posts with label Graphs: Affordability. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Graphs: Affordability. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 24, 2009

Sacramento Housing Affordability Index 1991-2008



The National Association of Home Builders recently updated their housing affordability index which measures the share of homes affordable to those with median income. (More on methodology here) Thanks to Neil, I've pushed the chart back to 1991 for a bit more perspective. In the fourth quarter of 2008, affordability in the Sacramento region was 66%, up from a low of 7% in the last quarter of 2005. That puts the index just under the 1990s high of 71% reached in the first quarter of 1998. During the 1990s, this measure of affordability remained over 50% for 7 years.

Thursday, July 31, 2008

A History of Sacramento Home Prices



As I often get readers coming to the blog searching for historical charts of Sacramento home prices, I thought I'd throw this one up. Click on the chart for a better view. The chart shows median home prices in Sacramento County (and West Sacramento) since 1987 and is based on data from the Sacramento Association of Realtors. Also included on the graph are some key indicators such as inventory, affordability, employment, and foreclosures.

Saturday, February 23, 2008

Sacramento Housing Affordability Increases...to 2004 Levels

The good news (from a buyer perspective): Homes are becoming more affordable as prices plummet. From the the Sacramento Bee:

There's a flip side to the Sacramento-area housing downturn that has would-be buyers cheering: Sacramento is getting more affordable. Falling sales prices between last summer and the end of 2007 triggered a nice jump in affordability in El Dorado, Placer, Sacramento and Yolo counties, according to an index compiled this week by the National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo & Co. 27.2 percent of homes sold in October, November and December were affordable to households earning the region's median income of $67,200.
The bad news? Affordability is only back to 2004 levels:
The new eligible buyer percentage for Sacramento was the best since 27.4 percent in the first quarter of 2004...[I]t doesn't take much to remember better days from 10 years ago. In the first quarter of 1998, 70 percent of area homes were affordable for people earning at least the median income, according to the home builders and Wells Fargo.
The last time affordability was this low (aside from 2004) was in 1991, at the front-end of the 1990s housing bust. Between 1993 and 2000, the index remained above 50%.

Here's a look at the index since 1995. You can download the data here.




From the Sacramento Bee:
Dozens of Rancho Murieta homeowners have been left with cracked walls and listing foundations after local builder Reynen & Bardis said it can no longer afford to fix their defective houses. Thirty-six residents have hired a law firm and begun filing lawsuits against the company, already reeling from the real estate downturn.
...
Francis Furtado, president of Reynen & Bardis' home building division, said the firm doesn't intend to abandon the Rancho Murieta residents. For the moment, it can't afford further repairs. "We are in a very tough market," he said. "There's no profit in home building. There's no profit in land development. Our income shut off. We had to hunker down. Our intention is to go back in, but right now the finances aren't there."
...
Since the bottom fell out of the land market, the firm has faced mounting pressure from creditors. It has shut down home building and recently furloughed 89 of its 180 employees.
...
The firm's problems have left Lynn and his neighbors with more than cracking walls. Their gated neighborhood is now filled with vacant and rental homes owned by Reynen & Bardis, which is now trying to unload them "as is" at bargain prices...Residents say the flood of cheap houses makes it harder for anyone else to sell, should they decide to get out.
From the Lincoln News Messenger (hat tip HBB):
The effects of a deepening national housing slump are hitting close to home. Even Gladding, McBean, one of Placer County’s oldest businesses and a Lincoln institution since 1875, is feeling the market’s pinch. “I’ve been here since 1991, and this is the most significant downturn in our market I’ve seen in that time,” said Bill Padavona, general manager and vice president of Gladding, McBean.

Padavona said the clay company has seen a 60 percent to 70 percent decline in products tied to home construction, such as sewer pipes and roof tiles. Though Gladding, McBean provides products throughout the West Coast, the market is especially bad in Northern California, where “the market has slowed to a near standstill,” Padavona said. Since the downturn began, the company has laid off 100 of its 235 employees.
...
That’s bad news as well for another Lincoln company, lumber supplier Sierra Pacific Industries. "It’s had a dramatic downward impact on lumber prices," said Mark Pawlicki, a spokesman for the Redding-based business. "Prices today go back to about 1992, the last time we had a housing recession."

Tuesday, November 27, 2007

Sacramento Housing Affordability Index - Q3 2007



The index is now at 17.2%. More on the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index here.

Thursday, August 23, 2007

Sacramento Housing Affordability Index



The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) and Wells Fargo put out a quarterly affordability index. The data is available here. Here's their explanation of the index:

The Housing Opportunity Index (HOI) for a given area is defined as the share of homes sold in that area that would have been affordable to a family earning the local median income based on standard mortgage underwriting criteria...NAHB assumes that a family can afford to spend 28 percent of its gross income on housing; this is a conventional assumption in the lending industry...The monthly principal and interest that an owner would pay is based on the assumption of a 30 year fixed rate mortgage, with a loan for 90 percent of the sales price (i.e., 10 percent down payment). The interest rate is a weighted average of fixed and adjustable rates during that quarter, as reported by the Federal Housing Finance Board.
Peaking at 70.5% in the first quarter of 1998, the share of affordable homes in the Sacramento region plunged to 7.3% in the last quarter of 2005. Affordability has started to recover as home prices have fallen. It now stands at 15%. Any guesses as to how high the index will rise before home prices bottom out?