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Showing posts with the label Captain Picks

Gameweek 9: Expected Points (or, a tale of one City)

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I don't recall there ever being a side in the Premier League with so many viable fantasy options. The 2009-10 Chelsea side that scored 102 goals had Drogba, Lampard, Anelka and Malouda all with double digit goals but there's a non-zero chance that this City side could have four players approaching those totals by the holidays plus  two of the best two creative players in the league in Silva and De Bruyne. This week they have the top five xP players - which is simply absurd - and even Sane could be argued to be higher as he's currently still being penalised for his early season sub appearances (though with Aguero back I'd personally argue they remain a risk). The real heartbreaker is that this game against Burnley looks delicious and someone is going to be benched and disappoint a lot of managers. Everyone except Aguero played midweek against Napoli so there are no clues there, but this is in theory the third game in which Aguero was fit enough play after his bro...

Gameweek 8 Projections (or, why can I only have three Spurs players?)

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Captain Notes Despite not boasting an overly impressive set of results to date, the model rates Liverpool's defense quite highly and thus perennial captain option Lukaku is well down this week's rankings. Morata  is a injury risk which is unfortunate given Chelsea's visit to lowly Palace, although even if fully fit the model is not enamored with the Spaniard thanks to so-so shot data for Chelsea on their travels. While they've racked up a very impressive 8 goals in 3 games, they've done so on just 21 SiB and 12 SoT, which makes the model cautious of future regression. For context, Arsenal have 20 SiB and 8 SoT in their three away trips and have yet to score. With Aguero out and City at home, Jesus is a very real option and I might have him second on my own adjusted list. He gets a good share of City's chances when on the pitch (24%) and while his SiB numbers cannot match the likes of Kane or Lukaku, his Big Chances per 90 minutes are right up there and...

Gameweek 29 Preview

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Gameweek 28 Preview

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Gameweek 27 Preview

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Gameweek 26 Preview

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Gameweek 25 Preview

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Gameweek 22 Preview

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Gameweek 16 Preview

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Gameweek 13 Preview

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Gameweek 12 Preview Data

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Gameweek 8 forecast

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Learn About Tableau Risk slider - this season each player is assigned a risk rating, based on their playing time and current injury status (as explained here ). There's no reason to definitely exclude all risky players, but you should consider their playing time before pulling the trigger with them. I've had a couple of questions about a couple of the 'odd' forecasts above, namely Loic Remy's lofty status and how Sturridge out ranks Suarez. I'll address those in more detail tomorrow but wanted to get the data out now.

Gameweek 38 Preview

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Clean Sheet Rankings Learn About Tableau Attacking Rankings Learn About Tableau Individual Rankings Learn About Tableau

Gameweek 36 Preview

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We've already talked in some detail about specfic players to target this week , with the below data supplementing that analysis: Clean Sheet Forecast Data Learn About Tableau Attacking Forecast Data Learn About Tableau Individual Forecast Data Learn About Tableau

Gameweek 35 Projections

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Gameweek 34 Projections

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Defensive projections Learn About Tableau Attacking projections Learn About Tableau Individual projections Learn About Tableau

Gameweek 33 Preview

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Clean Sheet Rankings Learn About Tableau Attacking Rankings Learn About Tableau Individual Rankings Learn About Tableau

Gameweek 30 Preview Data

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Clean Sheet Rankings Learn About Tableau Attacking Rankings Learn About Tableau Individual Rankings Learn About Tableau

Gameweek 28 Preview

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Clean Sheet Rankings Powered by Tableau Attacking Rankings Powered by Tableau Individual Rankings Powered by Tableau

Gameweek 24 Preview

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