Almost certainly not:
Showing posts with label moore's law. Show all posts
Showing posts with label moore's law. Show all posts
Monday, July 26, 2010
Wednesday, May 26, 2010
Planning for Moore's Law
It's important to realize that whereas originally Moore's law was an empirical description of the emerging behavior of the semiconductor industry, it has long since become a consciously planned effort. The entire semiconductor industry co-ordinates its efforts to move to ever smaller and smaller "feature size" (the size of individual logic elements in a chip). The coordination is accomplished via the International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors, which involves international teams and working groups that collaborate to lay out a fifteen year roadmap for the industry which gets revised or updated every year.
The most recent roadmap is the 2009 version, and I spent a little time with it this morning. I would guess that most scientists or technologists from outside the semiconductor industry would have a reaction similar to mine: this thing is a product of some alien civilization that has figured out how to make central planning work. The idea of all the major competing players in an industry collaborating to figure out all the R&D activities required to accomplish the next 15 years of progress is just extraordinary. But there it is. It's full of detailed schedules for when the industry will introduce different feature sizes and what challenges they have to overcome to do that.
The most recent roadmap is the 2009 version, and I spent a little time with it this morning. I would guess that most scientists or technologists from outside the semiconductor industry would have a reaction similar to mine: this thing is a product of some alien civilization that has figured out how to make central planning work. The idea of all the major competing players in an industry collaborating to figure out all the R&D activities required to accomplish the next 15 years of progress is just extraordinary. But there it is. It's full of detailed schedules for when the industry will introduce different feature sizes and what challenges they have to overcome to do that.
Labels:
moore's law,
singularity
Tuesday, May 25, 2010
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