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Parameter space exploration with Gaussian process trees

Published: 04 July 2004 Publication History

Abstract

Computer experiments often require dense sweeps over input parameters to obtain a qualitative understanding of their response. Such sweeps can be prohibitively expensive, and are unnecessary in regions where the response is easy predicted; well-chosen designs could allow a mapping of the response with far fewer simulation runs. Thus, there is a need for computationally inexpensive surrogate models and an accompanying method for selecting small designs. We explore a general methodology for addressing this need that uses non-stationary Gaussian processes. Binary trees partition the input space to facilitate non-stationarity and a Bayesian interpretation provides an explicit measure of predictive uncertainty that can be used to guide sampling. Our methods are illustrated on several examples, including a motivating example involving computational fluid dynamics simulation of a NASA reentry vehicle.

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    cover image ACM Other conferences
    ICML '04: Proceedings of the twenty-first international conference on Machine learning
    July 2004
    934 pages
    ISBN:1581138385
    DOI:10.1145/1015330
    • Conference Chair:
    • Carla Brodley
    Permission to make digital or hard copies of all or part of this work for personal or classroom use is granted without fee provided that copies are not made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage and that copies bear this notice and the full citation on the first page. Copyrights for components of this work owned by others than ACM must be honored. Abstracting with credit is permitted. To copy otherwise, or republish, to post on servers or to redistribute to lists, requires prior specific permission and/or a fee. Request permissions from [email protected]

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    Publication History

    Published: 04 July 2004

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    • (2018)Stochastic variational hierarchical mixture of sparse Gaussian processes for regressionMachine Language10.1007/s10994-018-5721-5107:12(1947-1986)Online publication date: 1-Dec-2018
    • (2017)Using Models to Explore Possible Futures (Contingency and Complexity)Urban Dynamics and Simulation Models10.1007/978-3-319-46497-8_5(81-95)Online publication date: 18-Jan-2017
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    • (2016)Variational inference for infinite mixtures of sparse Gaussian processes through KL-correction2016 IEEE International Conference on Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing (ICASSP)10.1109/ICASSP.2016.7472143(2579-2583)Online publication date: Mar-2016
    • (2015)Beyond Corroboration: Strengthening Model Validation by Looking for Unexpected PatternsPLOS ONE10.1371/journal.pone.013821210:9(e0138212)Online publication date: 14-Sep-2015
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    • (2013)Testing elastic systems with surrogate models2013 1st International Workshop on Combining Modelling and Search-Based Software Engineering (CMSBSE)10.1109/CMSBSE.2013.6604429(8-11)Online publication date: May-2013
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