Entries tagged with: Scenarios

22 result(s) displayed (1 - 22 of 22):

Scenarios of Ill Repute

A new volume on the evolving role of digital reputation, The Reputation Society: How Online Opinions Are Reshaping the Offline World is now out (also in Kindle format). Edited by my former Worldchanging colleague Hassan Masum (along with his colleague...

Posted on February 14, 2012 1:29 PM

Listening to Foresight

When people learn that I'm a professional futurist*, almost invariably the immediate response is the question "what predictions have you gotten right?" My usual answer is to argue that prediction isn't the what futurists do these days, we're all about...

Posted on April 26, 2011 3:36 PM

Futures Thinking: Mapping the Possibilities, and Writing Scenarios

(tap tap... this thing on? There's dust and cobwebs all over the place.) My most recent three Fast Company pieces are all of a set, part of the Futures Thinking series. Mapping the Possibilities (Part One, Part Two) give some...

Posted on February 24, 2010 1:22 PM

New FC: Singularity Scenarios

My latest Fast Company essay goes up today, talking about the different scenarios for a "Singularity" that arise when you take into account different cultural and political drivers for both before and after the development of greater-than-human intelligence. Three...

Posted on October 12, 2009 1:46 PM

Expiration Date

Slate's Josh Levin kicks off a series of articles on the possible future dissolution of the United States today with a piece about how a few different "futurologists" see the possibility. In "How Is America Going To End?", he talks...

Posted on August 3, 2009 3:05 PM

One Model for a New World Economy

If the Industrial-Era economic system is, in fact, on its last legs, it would be useful to think through some of the possible post-capitalism models that might emerge. I don't think we have enough early indicators to create a solid...

Posted on March 30, 2009 1:16 PM

Scaffolding, Redux

Mike Flynn of Opportunity Green attended the Art Center College summit, and took these shots of the three futures presented in my talk. Thanks, Mike! Also: very, very cool to discover the Mobility Vision Integration Process, a nifty way...

Posted on February 23, 2009 2:26 PM

Futurist Scaffolding

This Thursday, I'll be delivering the morning keynote at the Art Center College of Design Sustainable Mobility Summit. My talk will cover the big picture context for the kinds of debates and discussions swirling around the event. There will be...

Posted on February 16, 2009 2:31 PM

Mozilla Scenarios

Last year, I mentioned obliquely that I had been asked to work on something very, very cool, but couldn't talk about it. Finally, I can: I joined with Adaptive Path to create a set of scenarios of the future...

Posted on August 6, 2008 12:54 PM

The Big Picture: Collapse, Transcendence, or Muddling Through

I'll start this essay by leading with my conclusion: do we make it through this century? Yeah, but not all of us, and it's neither as spectacular nor as horrific as many people imagine. Techno-utopianism is heady and seductive. Looking...

Posted on July 14, 2008 2:33 PM

Responsible Nanotechnology

(The following is an essay I wrote for the Center for Responsible Nanotechnology's December 2007 newsletter.) How soon could molecular manufacturing (MM) arrive? It's an important question, and one that the Center for Responsible Nanotechnology takes seriously. In our recently...

Posted on December 28, 2007 6:34 PM

Malware for Materials

The smart environment era is just about upon us, and I'm looking forward to seeing what happens when our previously "dumb" surroundings become embedded with Internet-connected intelligence. This is a subject I've followed for awhile, so I have some basic...

Posted on December 26, 2007 9:45 PM

Nanoscenarios

The Center for Responsible Nanotechnology today published eight scenarios exploring differing drivers for the advent of molecular manufacturing. This was the "virtual workshop" series I led earlier this year, and the scenarios reflect the work of over 50 people across...

Posted on December 11, 2007 12:15 PM

Green Tomorrows: the Web Seminar

On December 20th, I'll be conducting something of an experiment. In coordination with Natural Logic, I'll be leading an hour-long "webinar"* on four different scenarios of how we may respond to global warming, and build a sustainable future. Here's the...

Posted on December 7, 2007 11:04 AM

Green Tomorrows: the Scenarios

This matrix served as the core of the presentation I gave at Opportunity Green this past weekend and, in a somewhat different form, at the Behavior, Energy and Climate Change conference the week before. (I'm also looking at it...

Posted on November 20, 2007 2:46 PM

Green Tomorrows

Opportunity Green arrives on Saturday, presenting an impressive line-up of sustainable business leaders, green bloggers, environmental policy experts, and at least one eco-futurist. I am humbled and honored that they've asked me to present the opening keynote for the event....

Posted on November 12, 2007 2:14 PM

The Problem of Cars

Even among many of the generally tech-friendly and realistic bright green types, the automobile remains an irritant. It's not simply that the petroleum-powered internal combustion engine is an ecological disaster; the automobile, historically, has been a catalyst for many of...

Posted on August 29, 2007 5:05 PM

Metaverse Roadmap Report

After months of work, the Metaverse Roadmap Overview is now available for download; get it here as a PDF. Written by Jerry Paffendorf, John Smart and me, the Overview is the end-result of the first Metaverse Roadmap project meeting, in...

Posted on June 25, 2007 3:26 PM

Earth Day Essay

I've gone ahead and contributed an essay to WorldChanging's "Earth Day" series, a brief set of scenarios based on the matrix shown above. It's very much a high-level view of potential Earth futures, and is meant more as a...

Posted on April 22, 2007 11:46 AM

Metaverse Roadmap Report

I'm more-or-less done now with my part of the report for the Metaverse Roadmap Project. Jerry Paffendorf and John Smart each wrote parts of the overall document, but my (very large) chunk is the set of scenarios describing four different...

Posted on April 15, 2007 5:53 PM

The Virtual Workshop (Or, How To Run A Scenario Event In Your Pajamas With Nobody the Wiser)

This past weekend, I ran a virtual scenario workshop for the Center for Responsible Nanotechnology. All 15 or so of the attendees participated solely by voice and Internet connection, for nearly eight hours over two days. I had never been...

Posted on January 22, 2007 5:29 PM

End-User License Agreement, StuffStation Deluxe

BY CLICKING "I AGREE" YOU ACCEPT THE PROVISIONS OF THIS LICENSE. I will not use this product (STUFFSTATION DELUXE) to build, repair, or in any way constitute weapons of mass destruction; I will not use this product (STUFFSTATION DELUXE) to...

Posted on December 20, 2006 11:41 AM

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