Showing posts with label 2008 election. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2008 election. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

The Inauguration Day How We Got Here Random Flickr-Blogging Retrospective Extravaganza

The long election cycle that brought us to this historic day was observed here -- in true IIRTZ fashion -- with irreverent and sometimes tasteless derision. While one is tempted to entertain lofty and nostalgic daydreams and memories today, resist and indulge yourself in a retrospective of the political year just past, as seen through the slightly-distorted lens of Random Flickr-Blogging.


Originally uploaded by fabcom.
Random Flickr-blogging explained
We're winning in Iraq. The economy is fine. Voluntary restrictions on greenhouse gas emissions will solve the global climate change problem. John McCain is an independent, straight-shooting campaign-finance reformer. You can have the bridge pictured here for your very own for $29.95, but only if you call in the next ten minutes...
See more...

Thursday, November 06, 2008

Numbers Are Fun Until Someone Loses an Eye

How many times now have I told Special Ed: "For the love of god, man, stay away from numbers! Numbers are not a toy for kids; they're for grown-ups who know how to use them. If you keep playing around with them you're just going to hurt yourself." And does he listen?

Nope:

In 2004, Bush beat John Kerry by winning 62.04 million votes. In 2008, Obama won 62.443 million, a gain of only 400,000. In 2004, Kerry garnered 59.028 million votes; John McCain only got 55.386 million. That means this election saw 3.24 million fewer votes than four years ago. Far from being more energized, the nation appeared to be more apathetic.
That was yesterday. The count as of 5:00 pm today: Obama 64,629,649; McCain 56,887,996. And (still) counting. So, Obama getting only 400,000 more votes from Bush? Not so much. Fewer voters than 2004? Not so much.

Comparing final totals from a previous election with still-being-counted numbers from the current one? Not smart. It can tempt you to draw all sorts of idiotic conclusions...like this one: More...
How do we know that it’s a base turnout rather than a tsunami of opinion to Democrats? For one thing, Dems didn’t pick up a boatload of new seats in the House, and they may underperform expectations yet in the Senate. They did gain some strength with independents, but only gaining between 11-20 seats in the House tells us that they found votes in districts they already control, more than finding converts....

It does reflect a certain brittleness about Obama’s support that may not be evident in the flush of his Electoral College victory. That doesn’t mean he can’t broaden his appeal after winning office, but it does mean that he primarily won among friendlies and not through appeals to bipartisanship.
Or, you know, maybe not:
The Democrats appear to have built a majority across a wide, and expanding, share of the electorate -- young voters, Hispanics and other ethnic minorities, and highly educated whites in growing metropolitan areas. The Republicans appear at the moment to be marginalized, hanging on to a coalition that may shrink with time -- older, working-class and rural white voters, increasingly concentrated in the Deep South, the Great Plains and Appalachia.
To see this illustrated graphically, check out this map--especially slide 3, comparing counties where Democrats increased their totals over 2004 with those where Republicans increased their vote totals. Bottom line: tomorrow's GOP is the party of Appazarkia.

Bonus math factoid: electoral votes Obama won by more than 5%? 278.
That's broad-based expansion of the party we can believe in...even if Special Ed can't.

Email from Abroad

We've stayed in touch with a couple of German friends we made on a 1996 trip to the amazing medieval town of Cesky Krumlov, in the Czech Republic's Bohemian countryside. A table shared, a few pilsners traded, a drinking contest pursued the next evening over medieval-style dinner in an unspoiled castle (actually not too cheesy), and we became lifelong friends, emailing one another to keep up with big personal or international news.

Their English is limited, our German extremely weak, so we have to get by on emotional broad strokes. Anyway, I hadn't heard from them in a long while, but I got this yesterday and thought I'd share it:

Dear [ahab] and Mary,

my congratulations to your new president. I'm very happy. And I think you are too.


Best wishes for you and your country

Martina
Her husband, Hans, kicked my ass in the drinking contest. Then helped Mary carry/drag it back to my hotel. That's a drinking buddy I can believe in.

Wednesday, November 05, 2008

I Can't Get No Satisfaction

I woke up the morning of the first Wednesday in November, 1960, to find my parents had slept on the hide-a-bed in the living room, in front of our only TV. They were awake before me, still waiting for the results of the JFK-Nixon presidential election. That taught me early -- I was five -- that these things matter.

Since then I've learned that it's not just what happens, but how it happens. This morning, we wake up with not just the taste of victory in our mouths, but the taste of hard-earned victory. Tears of joy are mixed with tears of exhaustion. After years of hoping justice would fall into our laps, this country got up off its collective ass and went after it.

Read more...

Bittersweet

America is a better country than it was yesterday; California is a worse state.

I wish our folks had lived to see Obama win. Last night MSNBC had John Lewis on, and he talked about the hundreds of thousands of civil rights workers in the '60s who had helped to make this election possible. Mom and Dad were among those hundreds of thousands, and they would have been thrilled beyond measure to see this victory. Not the final victory, not the promised land, but an enormous step in that direction.

And Proposition 8 was a step backwards. Our folks spent 25 years fighting for equality; they would have been so disheartened to see the voters of California reject it. Today, hundreds of thousands of Californians who for a little while had equal rights are again second-class citizens.

What Ebert said

Roger Ebert, on Obama's victory:

Our long national nightmare is ending. America will not soon again start a war based on lies and propaganda. We will not torture. We will restore the rights of freedom of speech, freedom of privacy, and habeas corpus. We will enter at last in the struggle against environmental disaster. Our ideas will once again be more powerful than our weapons. During the last eight years, the beacon on the hill flickered out. Now the torch will shine again.

That was some lottery ticket

Yes we can.

I cried like a baby during Obama's acceptance speech. Sobbed.

I cried because there is hope, because we can save this country, because things might get a whole lot better.

I cried because that man, and that family, in the White House, just being there, it's going to change things. Because I'm not old enough to remember Camelot, but this must be something like it. That his very presence shifts things. And I'm here for it.

Yes we can. More...

I feel all the things he was speaking about last night. That I can absolutely go back to being angry at a too-centrist Democratic president, as I was for eight years under Clinton, and how glorious those years seem now, and how willing I am for that, to fight for better, for more progressive, in a context where change is possible, where my voice can be heard. And truly, I will write letters and make phone calls and maybe do more, and instead of feeling 'all those bastards are the same,' I feel that my more-progressive-than-Obama voice can be heard, and is in play. (I mean for one thing, holy shit, Prop 8 passed? We have a long way to go.)

Yes we can.

Let's be clear. Obama was not originally my candidate. I have had misgivings about him. But he ran a brilliant race which certainly speaks to his managerial skills, and an inclusive race. And in his speech, as he gave it back to us, as he said it's our victory, well, I believed him.

Yes. We. Can.

(Yes we can cross-post.)

Tuesday, November 04, 2008

2008 Voters Guide: Get the Chicken!

This has probably been done to death on the blogs, but for our record here's David Sedaris writing in The New Yorker:

...I think of being on an airplane. The flight attendant comes down the aisle with her food cart and, eventually, parks it beside my seat. "Can I interest you in the chicken?" she asks. "Or would you prefer the platter of shit with bits of broken glass in it?"

To be undecided in this election is to pause for a moment and then ask how the chicken is cooked.

Monday, November 03, 2008

A Message from David Byrne

In my e-mail today:

Pardon the bulk mailing. I Can't Vote. I am an immigrant with a Green Card and, therefore, I am not eligible to vote in a federal election. FYI - I can get drafted (luckily, Daniel Berrigan burned my draft board's records) and I pay taxes, yet I cannot vote for President. On Election Day, I see my neighbors heading to the nearby elementary school to cast their ballots. The voting booth joint is a great leveler; the whole neighborhood - rich, poor, old, young, decrepit and spunky - they all turn out in one day.

But most of you can vote. What can I say? The Republicans have made us less safe than before 9/11, bankrupted this economy, started an illegal war they can't - and don't intend to - finish, removed what sympathy (after 9/11) and respect the world had for the US, and have robbed US citizens of many of their basic rights. Global warming? What's that? Science and education? Investment in our future? No, thanks - we'll stick with a good 'ole hockey mom. Ignorant, and fucking proud of it, as is always the case.

Although it looks like a shoo-in, it ain't over 'til Florida. And there are plenty of racists in this country who will vote against their own best interests. So please, get to your local elementary school, post office, town hall, or whatever, and cast your vote and make this a country we can all be proud of. We can get out of this mess, and life can be better than it is.
Damn, I love that guy. And incidentally, he and Brian Eno have a new album.

Making calls that make a difference

I volunteered with MoveOn.org to make phone calls, and I've ended up calling from home to recruit volunteers. Basically calling other MoveOn members in swing states (I'm in New York, a "not swing" state) and asking them to come into their local offices and give time up to and including Tuesday.

Here's the thing: Everyone's saying yes.

You make phone calls, maybe you reach half or fewer of the people you call. Answering machines, like that. But of the people I've spoken to? About half have signed up. Half! Have you ever done any calling, for anything? Half is crazy. Half is someone reaching over to you and stuffing money in your pockets just for shits and giggles. You can't believe how good it feels.

Everyone's excited. And there's a counter at the top of the screen, showing how many calls have been made. It moves blindingly fast. I started mid-week at 800,000 at the top of my screen, and now it's over 2 million. And everyone is saying yes I frickin can.

Yes. I can.

If you live in a swing state, volunteer. If you don't, call voters in swing states. Here's something from the script I've been reading to people: "No matter what the polls say, we need all hands on deck."

(And no, I haven't seen a movie all week.)

(Cross-posting that makes a difference)

Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Endorsement Scoreboard

Obama: Colin Powell, every living Democrat and some moderate Republicans, Christopher Buckley, too many others to list here.

McCain: Al-Quaeda.

Friday, October 24, 2008

Who Is The Real Joe McCain?

[News item: John McCain's brother Joe, stuck in traffic, calls 911]

911 Dispatcher: 911. State your emergency.

Caller: The wheels are coming off the [expletive] bus!

911 Dispatcher: Has there been an accident?

Caller: No, it's no accident; Mom always liked him best...

911 Dispatcher: Sir, please state the nature of your emergency.

Caller: I'm stuck in traffic! You'd think after buying $150,000 worth of clothes for that trailer-park trollop and arranging for Cindy to get her own cell tower, he could at least helicopter me out of here!

911 Dispatcher: Sir, 911 is for emergencies only.

Caller: It is an emergency! Don't you know what's going to happen to my taxes if That One gets into office?

911 Dispatcher: Sir, as one of the 95%, I hardly think--

Caller: Don't you know who I am? I'm Joe The Plumb--, I mean Joe McCain! Damn!

911 Dispatcher: Sir, are you the Joe McCain who works at Kelly's Roast Beef on Revere Beach and keeps calling 911 about the sea monsters?

Caller: [expletive] you! (hangs up)

911 Dispatcher: 911. State your emergency.

Caller: Hello, I’m calling for John McCain and the RNC, because you need to know that Barack Obama has worked closely with domestic terrorist Bill Ayers, whose organization bombed the US Capitol, the Pentagon...

[cross-posted at Blue Mass Group]

Where's Dr. Frist When They Need Him?

Headline at 538: Today's Polls, 10/23: McCain on Life Support.

And yet, if you watch the video, the campaign's eyes seem to be tracking a balloon...

Update: more campaign pr0n here. "[Republicans] are, in other words, acting the way Democrats used to act." Ouch!

Thursday, October 16, 2008

It Couldn't Happen to a Nicer Guy

A focus group run by Stan Greenberg, reported by Amy Sullivan:

In politics it is generally not considered a good sign when voters are laughing at you, not with you. And by the end of the third and last presidential debate, the undecided voters who had gathered in Denver for Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg's focus group were "audibly snickering" at John McCain's grimaces, eye-bulging, and repeated references to "Joe the Plumber."

The group of 50 uncommitted voters should have at least been receptive to McCain -- Republicans and Independents outnumbered Democrats in the group by almost 4 to 1, and they started the evening with much warmer responses to McCain than to his Democratic opponent, Barack Obama. But by the time it was all over, so few of them had declared their support for McCain that there weren't enough for Greenberg to separate them into a post-debate focus group. Meanwhile, the Obama supporters had to assemble in two different rooms to keep their discussion groups manageable.
I love the smell of Schadenfreude in the morning. It smells like...well, you know.

(Hat tip: Steve Benen.)

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

Wednesday, October 08, 2008

I'll Take "That One", Please

Frankly, it doesn't matter what I think about the debate last night -- my mind's been made up for a long time. But it does matter what uncommitted voters thought about it, of course.

Highlights from the CBS poll of uncommitted voters (numbers before and after the debate):


  • Obama went from 54% to 68% on "has a handle on the economy",
  • from 59% to 80% on "understands voters' needs and problems",
  • and from 42% to 58% on "is prepared to be president".

According to kos, "This is what 'victory' looks like."

And if there's any justice, this will be McCain's "Macaca Moment".

Friday, October 03, 2008

Just ANSWER THE GODDAMN QUESTION ALREADY!!

So I'm at my son's soccer game, and I turn to one of the other parents and say, "How do you feel about the economy?" And she says, "I don't really want to answer that question, but I do want to point out that you can put lipstick on a pig, but it's still a pig."

Later, I'm at the gas station, and my buddy [Generic Working-Class Hero's Name Here] is fillin' up his tank, fer gosh sakes, and I ask him, "How much does it cost to fill up your tank?"; and he says to me, he says, "Well, I'm not going to answer that, but by the way, it's 'nuke-LEE-ur', not 'nuke-YOU-lur', you moron. You can pronounce Ahmadinejad, but not nuclear?"

Back when Track was takin' the SAT's, see, he gets to the question where it says, "Diagram the following sentence attributed to the governor of Alaska...", and he takes out his number-two pencil and writes between the little circles, "That's an interesting question, but did you know that evolution is just a theory?"

Gwen Ifill: "Governor Palin, do you have any respect at all for this forum, its rules, the American people who want to know what your views and capabilities are, or the serious, important process you are engaged in? And exactly how far up your ass is your head, anyway? You have two minutes to respond."

Joe Biden, interrupting: "...and can you still see Russia from up there?"

Sarah Palin: "Well, you know, Gwen, I'd really rather correct the record on this taxes thing..."

Monday, September 29, 2008

Common-Sense Capitalism, Not Emergency Socialism

While we're on the subject of collections of syllables that will get someone elected president...

Jacob Weisburg complained in Slate (and Newsweek) a week or so ago about the lack of a catchy slogan from the Obama campaign, and although I don't think it's a deal-killer at this point, I don't disagree that it would help. In this citizen's opinion, recent events have handed him a winner.

READ MORE...

Wednesday, September 17, 2008

A Bridge Too Far Towards Nowhere


(CNN) -- Former Bush adviser Karl Rove said Sunday that Sen. John McCain had gone "one step too far" in some of his recent ads attacking Sen. Barack Obama.

"In case anyone was still wondering whether John McCain is running the sleaziest, most dishonest campaign in history, today Karl Rove -- the man who held the previous record -- said McCain's ads have gone too far," said campaign spokesman Tommy Vietor, in a statement sent to reporters minutes after Rove's on-air comments.
If there's anything we've learned about conservatives, their eventual downfall is that they never know -- before the fact -- when to draw the line; whether it's if the country has gone far enough to the right, how much less regulation of financial institutions is too little, how many lies to tell about a political opponent, or how unqualified for office a running mate can be, there's not the perspective to know when they are about to overreach, so the good news is that, inevitably, they do.

It's just that waiting for the inevitable can be excruciatingly painful.

Wednesday, September 03, 2008

Palin Speech

I couldn't stomach the whole thing, but what I watched: amateur hour. Incoherent text, stilted delivery. My evil twin (who, some say, is actually me, a rumor I deny vehemently) couldn't help imagining how the Bushes (Sr.) would feel about having to invite the Palins to a barbecue in Kennebunkport. Yeah, that would go well.

If McCain loses, they should use this speech for a one-shot revival of MST3K. If McCain wins, they should show this class in future history classes as the moment when we finally and irrevocably embraced idiocracy. Either way, it should be used in dictionaries to illustrate the phrases 'fatuous platitudes' and 'the evil of banality'.