Showing posts with label h1n1. Show all posts
Showing posts with label h1n1. Show all posts

Tuesday, November 03, 2009

H1N1 Vaccinations: Some Thoughts from an ICU Nurse-Comrade



Received this email from Scott Weinstein, a friend of mine who is an ICU nurse, and thought it worth sharing for the light (as opposed to just heat) that it shines on the question of the H1N1 vaccine:


This mail is unsolicited, so you may trash it or read it. I am NOT a flu expert, so take my thoughts with skepticism, which you should do with any health advice from someone who is not well educated in the subject. I am an intensive care RN and have been studying on my own the flu and vaccination debate for a month now, and want to share my thoughts that may tamper the emotions and claims on the debate. This month at work on my ICU, two patients had H1N1. Both had other high risk factors. The elderly lady did fine. The 23 year old died. That is not statistically significant, but It forced me to examine this flu more seriously than I have with previous flues.

I am agnostic on the issue, except that my bullshit meter has been in the red-zone for a while, and I desire a more cold-blooded analysis and less dogma.

There are three major problems with the H1N1 flu and vaccination program.
  1. People are getting hysterical that there is not enough vaccines to go around.
  2. People are getting hysterical that the the vaccines are more deadly than the flu.
  3. Accurate information seems harder to access than sensational information.
Not surprisingly, there media has sensationalized the problem, and there is a strong odor of conspiracy-theory.

In the middle are those of us who are confused.

People like me in the health care field have to deal with a lot of complexity and unknowns, in a short amount of time, with potentially deadly results.

The US public health agency, the Center for Disease Control CDC is poor when it comes to releasing easy to understand statistics, but they are issuing advice and guidelines, and seem to have the most information compiled from scientists and medical professionals around the U.S. on the subject. I quote them because it is easy, and they have a lot of public health stats. Should we trust them? Well, they are the government, but they are not the people who vote for war, or gave the job of fixing the economy to the bankers who ruined it for the rest of us.

There are four questions that we need to know

1. Who are at most risk of serious illness or death from the H1N1 flu?
We know it is people who are: pregnant, immunocompromised, have asthma, cardiovascular disease, arthritis, diabetes, or obese.. Healthy people with good immune systems are obviously less at risk for the flu, (or any other illness). Except healthy pregnant women and healthy kids are more at risk for serious H1N1 complications than with the regular seasonal flu.

These last three questions wont be known until later, or until after this flu season is over.

2. What percentage of UN-VACCINATED people will get seriously ill or die from the H1N1 flu?
3. What percentage of VACCINATED people will get seriously ill or die from the H1N1 flu?
4. What percentage of VACCINATED people will get seriously ill or die from the H1N1 vaccine?

"CDC estimated that about 36,000 people died of seasonal flu-related causes each year, on average, during the 1990s in the United States."

They report that the seasonal flu vaccine is about 30-90% effective (depending on your other risk factors) in preventing serious illness and death. But they don't have current stats on H1N1 because the vaccination program just got started.

In the worst year for serious illness and deaths from a flu vaccine, 1976, 532 vaccinated people for H1N1 out of 40 million, got Guillain-Barré Syndrome (GBS) in the US. 32 died. Only 13 people contracted and one person died from the H1N1 flu! The U.S. shut down the vaccination program and paid out $millions to the GBS victims.

As of Oct. 24, the CDC reports there are 114 confirmed pediatric deaths in the U.S. from H1N1 and (this web page may be updated weekly). Ignoring the H1N1 effects from April through August, the CDC reports from August 30th - October 24th, 530 flu deaths, and 2,916 pneumonia and flu syndrome-based deaths. The flu is H1N1.

The U.S. H1N1 vaccines do not contain adjuvants like aluminum, for political reasons. Adjuvants supposedly make the vaccine more effective. The Canadian and European vaccines do. A very small study inspired by neuro problems of American Gulf War soldiers, injected the common aluminum hydroxide and the sqalene adjuvants in about 43 mice. It found that aluminum hydroxide adjuvant increased the risk of neuodamage by up to 23% (1). The number of mice tested is way too small to draw a conclusion, other than this might warrant a much larger study. It is also a perfect example against killing animals for studies like these: Why not study people who got the adjuvants? That should be easy because millions do each year. So we could look at a large sample of people who got flu vaccines with the adjuvants, and a large sample of people who got the flu vaccine without adjuvants, and a large sample of people who didn't get a vaccine or adjuvants and see if any group has more neuro deficits or damage. I know, people will say the study would be flawed because Americans didn't get the adjuvants, and so many are brain damaged anyway, but we can control for that.

There have been studies to figure out what part of the vaccine caused GBS in 1976. They are inconclusive according to the CDC. Could it have been the adjuvants, the preparation, the medium, the killed virus or the attenuated virus? Anyway, they predict the new H1N1 vaccine in the US will be a lot safer. Will it be? I can't say for sure, but I assume that the public health experts do NOT want to get burned again by issuing a deadly vaccine. Not only will it cost them their jobs, but it will seriously destroy any confidence the public has in public health efforts.

Lots of problematic internet articles pass my way to prove that the vaccines are harmful. First I look to see if the article is based on statistical research of a good sample size, or is it based on anecdotes, stories or individual examples. I would never base a serious decision solely on anecdotal 'evidence'. I would never solely base a decision only from any person, doctor or pharmaceutical corporation that stood to profit by me following their advice. Although I have serious criticisms of the western medical-industrial-complex, many natural or alternative health practitioners are as unscrupulous, greedy or dogmatic as the Western medical industry they criticize. Dogma is an incurable epidemic I fear.

One interesting source of science geek news and views on the flu & epidemiology is: http://scienceblogs.com/effectmeasure/

There is one troubling aspect of the H1N1 virus that reminds me of the HIV virus. The HIV virus causes AIDS by hijacking the person's immune system, and turning it against them. With H1N1, we are reading about a hypothesis that the reason young healthy people are getting sicker and sometimes dying at a higher rate than they would for the regular seasonal flu, is that much of the lung damage in life-threatening flu infections is caused by a “cytokine storm,” the inflammatory overreaction of the body’s immune system to invasion by the virus that can happen with healthy people.

So, given the knowns and the unknowns, should someone get the flu vaccine?
I personally have never been vaccinated for the flu until I was forced to for H1N1 as a condition for keeping my job.

My simple answer is that if they fall in a high risk category, they should certainly consider it. If they are exposed to the public inside closed spaces and their sneezing and coughing, they should consider it.

Of course, people should wash their hands, cover their cough, and stay home if they have flu-like symptoms.

Finally, people should always pursue a healthy lifestyle and lessen their health risk factors, regardless what illness they are concerned about.

Best wishes and stay healthy!
Scott

Footnote (1): Aluminum hydroxide injections lead to motor deficits and motor
neuron degeneration
Christopher A. Shaw, Michael S. Petrik c
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
Journal of Inorganic Biochemistry
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/jinorgbio



Friday, October 30, 2009

Class, Nation, and Health: with some thoughts about H1N1, and building movement capacity


What follows is a rough version of a talk i gave at Montreal's Native Friendship Center, at the Anti-Colonial Thanksgiving organized by Frigo Vert last night. Many of the articles and documents referenced here are also referenced on the new Kersplebedeb H1N1 page.


I’m here to say just a few words about health inequalities, with particular attention to this new flu, the H1N1 or swine flu, and some concerns around it.

The flu is something I became interested in earlier this year, when my husband caught it and became very sick. He spent two months in the hospital, most of that time on a ventilator in a medically-induced coma, and he probably would have died if not for the fact that he received excellent medical care.

People say that you have to already have a serious health condition to be at risk from H1N1, but my husband’s only relevant health problems were very mild asthma and the fact that he gets migraines. In fact, they’re saying now that a quarter of the people who have died of H1N1 were in perfect health beforehand.

Now luckily my husband didn’t die, though his seven weeks in the ICU did make me realize some things. For one, it gave me an appreciation of the fact that even though not many people were dying of the flu, an unknown number of people were getting very very sick, and it was only the fact that there were enough ventilators and ICU beds that allowed them to survive. (The clearest figure i could find about this was that for every H1N1 death, there were four people critically ill with the virus who had to be kept alive in an ICU.)

And that got me thinking about health inequalities, and how they might play out with the flu.

By “health inequality”, I don’t mean the fact that some of us are more healthy than others, or that some of us see the doctor more often. I don’t even mean just the fact that some of us have more ready access to medical care, though that's getting closer. What I’m talking about is not an individual thing, but a collective phenomenon. The fact that different groups of people face different obstacles and challenges to being healthy. That the family you were raised in, the neighbourhood you grew up in, the job you end up doing and the place where you end up living as an adult, these factors all affect your chances of getting particular illnesses, they affect how readily you’ll have access to treatment if you do get sick, and as a bottom line, these things all affect how long you’re likely to live.

That’s what I mean by health inequality.

Health inequality is normally the result of some other kind of inequality. It’s not just caused by bad luck or genetics. More often than not, it is a result of financial inequality, unequal power relations, your position in society.

There are many useful ways of looking at this, but two that i find particularly helpful are class and nation.



Class and Life Expectancy: Some Examples from Montreal

If you go out this door, walk down to St-Catherine street and then take a left and walk for an hour, you’ll end up in Hochelaga Maisonneuve, Montreal’s working-class east end. Folks there have a life expectancy in their low to mid-seventies. In fact, bucking the general trend in most countries, the life expectancy for older residents of the neighbourhood actually went down between 1998 and 2008. (By life expectancy we don't mean how old most people are dying now - that's referred to as the "average age of death" and is usually significantly younger. Life expectancy is capitalism's forecast as to how old people born today are likely to live - indeed, the fact that there continue to be such discrepancies in life expectancy is a stark indicator that the 21st century is not intended to be any more egalitarian than the last one was.)

If on the other hand, you were to go out this door, walk down to St Catherine street and take a right, and walk for about an hour, you’d be in Westmount, one of the wealthiest neighbourhoods in all of Canada. The folks there, just to use the same measure, have a life expectancy in their eighties.

Now what makes a life expectancy? Lots of things, for instance: how common violence is in your community, what kind of food people eat (and what kind is sold at your local supermarket), what opportunities you have for physical exercise, how stressful or dangerous your job is likely to be, and of course how likely you are to get sick with various diseases due to poor sanitation or overcrowding or pollution.

The thing about these various factors, is they all follow the same contours of wealth and political power. When I was doing a bit of research for this talk, I came across a page hidden like a needle in a haystack on the Quebec government website, in which Montreal was divided up into different neighbourhoods and each neighbourhood was listed along with the prevalence of various diseases, various "quality of life" indicators, and also average annual income. These statistics are not completely honest, engaging in a bit of demographic gerrymandering, by including a few blocks where people are poor into the wealthier neighbourhoods, and including a few middle class blocks in with the working-class neighbourhoods, to dilute the impact of the numbers - but even so, a predictable pattern emerges. The same neighbourhoods – places like Hochelaga Maisonneuve, St-Henri, Montreal North –
suffer from higher rates of various health problems, and the same places enjoy better than average health, and those are the wealthier and safer areas. (Although lacking the health information, similar socio-economic statistics can be found on this City of Montreal web page.)

It makes sense, after all, this is one of the big reasons people want to be middle class, or upper class, the fact that they can then afford a healthier and longer and safer and more pleasant life, not only for themselves but for their children, too.

This all is one way of thinking about heath inequality.



National Disparities Within Canada

If class is one useful way to look at injustice, another important concept is nation. The two aren’t the same, but they’re closely related.

Different nations, different peoples, live inside what is called Canada, experiencing very different living conditions, and obviously this leads to differences in health. We may live just down the block from each other, but for all that many of us effectively live in different countries.

Again, to use life expectancy as a bottom line, folks in Westmount might be expected to live into their eighties, folks in Hochelaga Maisonneuve into their mid- seventies, well Indigenous people in Canada, on average, have a life expectancy in their low seventies (high sixties for men, mid-seventies for women). That's all the Indigenous folks counted as such by Statistics Canada, including those who have "made it", including those in communities with more resources: a national average just slightly below that of the poorest of Montreal's neighbourhoods.

Canadian colonialism and genocide create this discrepancy - the Indigenous life expectancy results from different health issues and trends than what is found in the settler community. We're not just talking a little more of this disease or slightly less of that vitamin, but tragically high death rates amongst young people, often due to violence and various forms of substance abuse (See pages S54-S55 of the Revue Canadienne de Santé Publique Vol. 96, Supplément 2). That’s a direct result of genocide, Canada's long term assault on the ability of subject nations to reproduce and maintain themselves in a healthy way.



Looking at Communities

Now these statistics are just that, statistics. They’re all about averages and generalities, they deal with large numbers of people, millions in fact. For that reason, while they're useful as an initial tool, they can also trick you into missing some important details. Just as it's misleading to talk in broad generalities about “Canada” without specifying the different classes and nations here, it’s also misleading to talk in generalities about neighbourhoods or broad national categories like “Quebecois” or “settler” or “Indigenous” without keeping in mind that not everyone in these categories is dealing with the same situation. Definitely not all settler communities are the same, definitely not all immigrant communities are the same, definitely not all Indigenous communities are the same. Ignoring this has real political consequences that can screw us up.

Now a community may be geographic, like Hochelaga Maisonneuve or St. Henri or Kanesetake, but it may be more amorphous than that. Not all communities are found on maps, not all communities have a longitude and a latitude. We may not normally think of them as communities, but in terms of health, your job may provide a community, for instance a factory may be a community. A school may be a community. If you're a sex worker, then that may be a community. And if you’re living on the street that’s a particular community, if you’re living at the Y, or staying at a shelter, then that’s a particular community. If you’re in prison, then you'd better believe it: in terms of your health, that's a distinct community.



Locked Up or On the Street

This does not diminish the importance of nations and classes. On the contrary: if you check out these situations, or if you’re forced to live in them, you see that in fact they’re not separate. In fact, it is in specific communities that nations and classes exist in their sharpest, most intense, form. Like on the street: in Hamilton, Ontario, for instance, where Indigenous people represent 2% of the city’s population, but 20% of the homeless population. Or Edmonton, where Indigenous people make up 43% of the homeless population, though only 6% of those who have homes. (Aboriginal Housing Background Paper, Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation November 2004)

Or take a look at Canadian prisons and penitentiaries: Indigenous people are locked up over six times as often as anyone else in Canada. A few years back they did a "snapshot" study of all the prisons, penitentiaries and jails in Canada, to see exactly who was locked up: in Saskatchewan Indigenous people were imprisoned at almost ten times the overall provincial rate; they were 76 per cent of that province’s prisoner population. In Manitoba, 61 per cent of prisoners were Indigenous; in Alberta, it was over 35 per cent. (Racial Profiling in Canada, p. 81, quoted in Sketchy Thoughts)

So when we’re talking about communities, even when we don’t mean actual geographic communities that you can find on a map, even when we’re talking about something like being on the street or in prison, it should be clear that we’re still talking about something that has very clear class and national characteristics. Not everyone has an equal chance of ending up in these situations, not everyone has an equal chance of getting out of them.

In terms of health, in terms of well-being, if you’re in a particularly oppressed community, your reality will be a lot more intense than what you see in the broad reassuring national statistics. To give an example: 1 in 125 people in Canada is thought to have Hepatitis C, a potentially fatal illness. According to a study carried out in 2004, the rate is almost one in four (23.6%) for prisoners in the federal system. To give another example: Canada-wide, just over one in a thousand (0.13%) people were HIV positive in 2004, but almost one in twenty women in prison (4.7%) had the virus. (Moulton, Donalee. "Canadian inmates unhealthy and high risk." CMAJ: Canadian Medical Association Journal. 2004) Similar kinds of discrepancies exist if you’re talking about tuberculosis or many other serious health problems.

Prisoners are one such group, people without good housing are another. A study that just came out this week in the British Medical Journal tells us that in Canada, if you're a woman living in a rooming house at age 25, your life expectancy is less than fifty years of age. If you’re a man living on the street at age 25, your overall life expectancy is less than forty. Less than half the national average. (Hwang, Stephen W., Mortality among residents of shelters, rooming houses, and hotels in Canada: 11 year follow-up study, BMJ 2009;339:b4036)

Understand it: nations and classes find their lived reality in communities. Communities with their own vulnerabilities and peculiarities, their own cultures, their own realities. This is important when thinking about health crises, because when disaster strikes, it will normally strike first in a specific community. Partly because germs and pollutants are distributed that way, and partly because social power and wealth are distributed that way. When there's an outbreak of some disease, most communities will probably be mildly affected, if at all. Oftentimes, there will even be big differences within various oppressed and colonized peoples, as only certain subgroups are made to bear the brunt of whatever capitalism is dishing up this season. (At least at first.)

So we have this obscene situation, that as a society, we’re often moaning about possible disasters that aren’t very likely at all, while people around us are actually living the disaster, or living the crisis, right now before our eyes. But most people choose not to see it.

It’s important to keep this in mind, because if you yourself are in a community struck by disaster, then these big reassuring statistics can make you feel like what's happening to you is exceptional and aberrant, perhaps even your fault or your community's fault. But in reality while it may be exceptional, it is also intrinsic to the system, and more often than not your personal hell has been noted and deemed acceptable by those who claim to be in charge.

On the other hand, if you are lucky enough to not be in the line of fire, then those statistics, by lumping people and communities together in these big categories, can give you a false sense that nothing anywhere is really all that bad. Those cases where people are in a serious crisis, where diseases like tuberculosis and Hepatitis C are not only common but are the norm, those situations end up being hidden, camouflaged by the large numbers of cases where people are managing to hold it all together.



H1N1: Parsing Opinions

This new flu, the "swine flu" or H1N1, it's an easy topic to spin bullshit about, and a lot of people are spinning bullshit about it. It’s easy to spin bullshit because this is a new strain of the flu, and it hasn’t been around during a flu season yet, and so no one can really know how serious it will be. According to some people the flu will wipe everyone out, according to some people it’s harmless but the vaccine will kill you – and all these folks seem to contradict themselves and rely on junk science, but they get a hearing because most of us know we can’t trust the government, and we’re often scientifically illiterate ourselves. If you’re bored, you can make up any old end-of-the-world fantasy story, and someone out there is likely to believe you. (If you don't believe me, just try it.)

But just because we don’t know something, that doesn’t mean that we can’t talk intelligently. Just because any crazy idea will get a hearing, doesn’t mean that it’s pointless to try and be logical and reasonable in seeing what might come.

Within the sane range of opinion, there’s two ways of looking at H1N1, and at what is likely to occur. One way is to point out that most people do not get very sick from it. Only 90 people in Canada have died so far from H1N1, while the regular flu kills thousands every year. This is an important point. According to this view, it's not so much a pandemic as a scamdemic, a fabricated excuse for some big pharmaceutical companies to boost their profits.

But it’s worth keeping in mind that the regular flu normally kills hardly anyone in the summertime or spring, and that’s when H1N1’s deaths have occurred so far. To compare the regular flu's winter toll with that of H1N1 over the summer is to make certain assumptions that contradict what years of epidemiology tell us about when flu infections - and serious illnesses, and deaths - will spike.

The bottom line is we just don’t know how serious or how mild the flu will be this winter, and winter is when the vast majority of flu deaths normally occur.

In the meantime though, we do have the experience of the H1N1 this spring. Then the virus played itself out much like other illnesses: people in less wealthy and more oppressed communities were more prone to catching it, and thus formed a larger proportion of those who got very sick. There was a good article in the Globe and Mail a little while back, in the science section, which made exactly this point; its title was “Influenza has a cure: affluence”.

To give one example of how this worked, in June, 14% of people with H1N1 showing up at emergency rooms all across Quebec were showing up at just one hospital, the Montreal Jewish General. This may in part be because it’s just a better hospital and more proficient at diagnosing people, but it may also have something to do with the fact that it’s located in the middle of Cote-des-Neiges, one of the more heavily immigrant neighbourhoods in Montreal. While Cote-des-Neiges is a mixed class neighbourhood, it does contain pockets of real poverty, bad living conditions, and overcrowding. (This statistic, of 14%, was discussed at an information seminar about H1N1 at the Jewish General in June. i am unaware of it having been published to date.)

But there’s something important to grasp beyond the general fact that the flu will be more prevalent in less wealthy neighbourhoods. Like I was saying, no matter what the picture painted by broad statistics, when you look at the specifics you’re going to always find certain communities dealing with much worse situations.

That is precisely what we saw this spring, in a number of communities, where H1N1 became something much much worse. When it became so widespread that a tipping point was reached. To speak in dialectics, one could say the quantitative – the numbers of people sick - became qualitative, meaning it changed the nature of the entire situation. Local resources were overwhelmed, and the crisis entered a different phase. In Garden Hill, St. Theresa’s Point, Sandy Lake – all Indigenous communities – the flu pandemic got completely out of control, local nursing stations were unable to support people’s needs, and over a hundred people had to be medi-vacced to intensive care units in Winnipeg hospitals. Several people died.

Tipping points are like dominos, when one occurs it always risks setting off the next. In terms of what happened this summer, this almost did happen, as ICUs in Winnipeg filled up with critically ill H1N1 patients and there was a real fear that there would not be enough ventilators. Had that occurred (thankfully it didn't) many more people would have died.

While Garden Hill, St. Theresa's Point and Sandy Lake were the only places we know of where things escalated to that level, Indigenous people across Canada were suffering disproportionately from the flu. According to the way the government measures these things, Indigenous people make up less than 4% of the Canadian population – but this summer by the same measure Indigenous people made up 25% of those who got critically ill from H1N1. In Manitoba, where Indigenous people make up roughly 10% of the population, this summer at one point they were over 60% of those who found themselves on ventilators, struggling for life in ICUs.

Nor is it only Indigenous people. Compared to most places, Canada is a fairly “white” country, but according to a recent article in the Journal of the American Medical Association, less than 50% of those who became critically ill with H1N1 in Canada this summer were white; the majority were people of color. It’s perhaps also worth noting that that same report found that almost 70% of those who got critically ill were women, which shows this disease has a gender profile that hasn’t been given enough attention.

We may not be able to predict the future, but given what we do know, we can make some reasonable guesses about the flu this winter. It is clear that the incidence of disease will not be random, and that not all communities will fare the same. No matter what the broad, general, abstract “Canadian” experience this winter, it is guaranteed that in some specific communities the situation will be much much worst. Those hardest hit will almost certainly be Indigenous communities, immigrant communities, working class communities.



A Suggestion to My Comrades

At the height of the outbreak in Garden Hill this spring, Grand Chief David Harper asked Health Canada to set up a field hospital in the community, an idea that the government rejected.

Since then, the Assembly of First Nations asked the federal government to send flu kits to Indigenous households across the country – Health Canada didn't see the point, so instead the AFN had to raise money on its own from the provinces and the private sector.

Just a couple of weeks ago Grand Chief Harper was quoted in the newspaper again, saying “By now, we would have liked to have field hospitals set up so our people don’t have to wait to be airlifted to Winnipeg for treatment.”

This is a reasonable request: for months now everyone from local healthcare providers to the World Health Organization has been saying that if a major crisis occurs in Canada, if a tipping point is reached, if the quantitative becomes qualitative, it will most likely happen in one of the many remote and impoverished Indigenous communities. But the government isn't worried.

So it begs a question for me – which of our movements have things like this on the radar? Which of our movements is poised to respond to a request for a field hospital, or any kind of useful emergency intervention? It reminds me of the ice storm back in 1998, when the whole city of Montreal was paralyzed, many without electricity for weeks, and the army was sent in. Many people were relieved to see the soldiers, we felt we needed rescuing. Why couldn’t any of our movements have played that role?

And why does this question seem silly to some of us? As if the ability to respond to a crisis, the ability to serve the people when the people really need serving, as if all of that was beyond the scope of our responsibilities.

Some of us have the skills, and i know many of us would love to see these capacities developed, but the question is a collective one, not an individual one. We need to explicitly decide as a movement that that’s where we’re going. We need autonomous structures, separate from (and ideally hidden from) the state, in which those with medical skills can frame their work, even if they may be operating within a hospital or a community health organization. We need to become scientifically literate, so that we don’t fall for the latest ridiculous conspiracy theory. Even if not everyone has the interest or the proclivity to get a grasp on "hard sciences", as a movement we need to value that kind of thinking, to appropriate it, to make it our own.

Most importantly, we need to think in terms of filling the role that the state plays, dealing not only with healthcare, but also with everything from garbage disposal to sewage treatment to conflict resolution. If we claim to be against the state, then that becomes our job. If we fail at it, if we fail to do a better job than what's being done now, then even if we do someday drive out the state, even if we do establish no-go areas, sooner or later it will be the people themselves who will demand the enemy's return.

H1N1 may or may not play itself out as a disaster this winter. I certainly don’t believe it will be some Canada-wide cataclysm, but I think it’s likely that in certain specific areas it will be a serious problem, and some people will suffer. If tipping points are reached, if the surge capacity of particular communities is overwhelmed, it won't be pretty. I can tell you from personal experience that the disease can be horrendous.

We know the Harper government is ideologically predisposed to letting poor people die. We know capitalism and colonialism will only make the situation worst. Knowing this, I would argue that our movements have a responsibility to think beyond zines and blogs and lobbying, that we have a responsibility to start doing what we can to build our capacity to offer real help to people whenever and wherever a crisis does occur.




Thursday, September 17, 2009

"We have been waiting for medical supplies and here all we receive is body bags"


H1N1 prevalence around the world

The news today that the canadian federal government has sent body bags to First Nations in preparation for this fall's H1N1 hit, is a stark exposition of the fact that the "swine flu," while expected to be mild in wealthier countries, could devastate many poorer nations.

And those lying maps notwithstanding, "canada" is home (like a jailcell) to many such nations, that Third-World-in-the-First, the nations and lands of Indigenous people, surviving centuries after conquest.

Earlier this year, as thousands of people across Canada were confirmed to have contracted H1N1 (the real numbers probably being in the hundreds of thousands: if you had the flu this summer, chances are you had the swine flu), generally with only mild symptoms (notable exceptions notwithstanding, a parallel, much more ominous, epidemic hit several First Nations, most notably Garden River and St. Theresa's Point in Manitoba and Sandy Lake First Nation just across the border in Ontario.

At its worst, Indigenous people comprised two thirds of those being kept alive by ventilators in Manitoba, even though they only make up 10% of that province's population. A consequence of the extreme poverty and overcrowding that exists on some reserves (i.e.only half of homes in Garden River reserve have running water), partly due to outright racism (the government had stalled sending alcohol-based hand sanitizer to affected areas because of fears of drunken Indians) and partly demographics (the virus hits the young hardest, and two thirds of Indigenous people in Manitoba are under 25 years of age, a trend matched amongst Indigenous people across Canada).

After weeks of trying to call attention to the worstening situation, the Assembly of First Nations, the main neocolonial body "representing" Indigenous canada, eventually declared a state of emergency.

This was part of H1N1's spring-summer hit, which is expected to be dwarfed this fall. This is not because of mutation (which happens all the time with flu viruses, and does not necessarily make them more dangerous), but because the air is significantly more humid in the fall, and this facilitates transmission of flu viruses. It is expected that up to a third of people in North America will become infected, but that in the vast majority of cases the sickness will be relatively mild. The death rate, in a worst case scenario, is still expected to be well under 1% of those become ill.

However, there is little comfort to be had in such class- and nation-neutral statistics, as people live in specific communities with definite features. H1N1 will follow the trajectory of other diseases, flowing around the contours of power and privilege, hitting the oppressed hardest. The serious cases, and deaths, are likely to be concentrated in the Indigenous nations; within the rest of Canada, there are likely to be most concentrated in the most oppressed and marginalized - often heavily immigrant - sections of the working class. Those reassuringly small statitistical chances of serious illness or death will not reflect everyone's reality.

The health deficit in Indigenous communities is just one dimension of ongoing national oppression and erasure. As was pointed out earlier this year by Margo Greenwood of the National Collaborating Centre on Aboriginal Health, "Their health status is not a product of biological determinants, but of social conditions and access to societal resources."

Regardless of the subjective intentions of those who work within them, the various neocolonial bodies like the Assembly of First Nations function as a lubricant to facilitate this process. Go-betweens with the oppressor state. Their task is often not an enviable one, as white canada often fails to see the need to include them or give them their due. Indigenous reality is an afterthought - nothing personal, you know. Indeed, the AFN has had to take it upon itself to solicit donations for flu kits for many reserves, the federal government failing to see the point.

To give another example: just the other day First Nations chiefs had to complain, to bring attention to the fact that they were not on the guest list at an international H1N1 preparedness conference, held right in Winnipeg. Can you imagine holding a conference so close the canadian epicenter, and not inviting those who are supposed to be in charge of those most affected? But that's what happened... business as usual in the "great white north."

It is in this context that the Health Canada has begun sending body bags to certain Indigenous communities. Perhaps a "mistake", clearly one that is causing the government some embarassment, because the message it sends is an all too accurate reflection of realities on the ground. To quote the Globe and Mail, "The shipment is another blow to native leaders, who fear they are among the least prepared for another wave of the flu and that the federal government isn't properly responding to their needs."

As Garden Hill chief David Harper put it, "This says to me they've given up [...] We have been waiting for medical supplies and here all we receive is body bags." Or in the words of one internet blogger, "For once our government was honest with the First Nations. They’d obviously rather see them dead than help them in any sort of effective way."

There is no crystal-ball-certain way of knowing how the H1N1 pandemic will play itself out. In a few months we may be looking back at a calamity, or at no big deal at all. But what is clear is that in the latter case, it will have been a near miss. The chances of devastation in pockets of North America are there, and to all appearances, the appropriate response is not.

& what, dare i ask, are our movements prepared to do?



Sunday, July 19, 2009

Aboriginal nurses concerned about impact of H1N1

A.N.A.C. [the Aboriginal Nurses Association of Canada] is particularly concerned with the impact of treating cases of H1N1 will have on small and remote First Nation communities. Many Aboriginal people in these communities live in overcrowded conditions and over 100 First Nations still do not have running water. The issue is also related to nursing support needed for severe cases of H1N1 which can lead to extended hospital stays and lengthy home support in the community after hospital discharge. There is a shortage of nursing support staff in rural and remote areas.


Read the whole article on Wataway News Online.



Wednesday, July 15, 2009

H1N1 and Us



My personal relationship with H1N1 – the swine flu virus – probably lasted about a week, but i was only physically aware of it for maybe 48 hours, tops. Getting H1N1 – and if you have the flu this time of year, chances are you have it – has been described as similar to being run over by a bus, which an hour or two later puts itself in reverse and backs up over you again. But for me it was more reminiscent of a teenage drug trip, and as i lay in bed veering between the chills and fever, i thought that this wasn’t as bad as all that.

That was May 15th, and by the evening of the 16th i was “better” – though probably still contagious. Where did i get it? Chances are from my husband, who we now know must have caught it earlier that week. And where did my husband catch it? Who knows – could have been the corner store, the movie theatre we went to that week, or the restaurant we ate at. Lots of possibilities.

Now while H1N1 hit me quick and hard and then moved on, it doesn’t always play that way. When I first started on this blogpost, I had been living for seven weeks at the intensive care unit of one of the best hospitals in town. While our daughter and myself recovered quickly enough, H1N1 almost killed my husband. Although he is recovering much faster than initially expected, even now at home (since last Friday!) he is still incredibly weak, and will require help managing regular daily activities in the weeks and months to come.

Having him at the hospital for so long - and me being there for the same period of time, sleeping on the couches, trying to maximize my time around him, for we had been told he might die - i have lost all perspective. When a thing like this happens it ends the narrative of ones life as it existed, but by the same token one does not stop seeing things as one has for decades. So i lost perspective, but my lost perspective found its form in the concepts i still understand my world with.

I cannot say if i first began to write this to distract myself, or because i had something to say. This personal crisis seems to echo political questions I have thought about over the years – or does it? Could it merely be that a personal crisis like this colors everything, bleeds its meaning and its terms into old thoughts and preoccupations, resuscitates discarded ideas like zombies in a Romero movie?

A year ago some beautiful comrades, people who have inspired me in so many ways, sent me a draft paper about the flooding of New Orleans – they raised the hard question, not of why the State had been absent in planning humanitarian relief prior to the disaster, but why the oppressed had not been prepared, had not been politically forcing the State to fix the levees, had not been preparing for the flood before Katrina came:

In real life, women had time to organize a response to the looming destruction of New Orleans. Time to organize neighbors and families to construct communal flood defenses, to go on the offensive and stop profitable port cargoes from being unloaded or luxury tourist hotels from operating. To concentrate everyone on defending the Black Metropolis. Time to unofficially, illegally take over disaster planning from the patriarchal capitalist state. No, there weren't days but years of warning to do all these things. Not months of warning but decades of advance notice.

This is hard, but is in many ways true. But as i first read it i wondered – and still wonder – if it doesn’t harden itself a bit too much by leaving out other truths. Namely that we can’t see which disaster is coming down the tubes, even though we all know that one is surely on its way. After all, we “knew” that New Orleans would be flooded, just as we “know” that global warming will sink other cities (and nations), we “know” about peak oil, we “know” about peak water, we “know” about the oceans turning acidic, we “know” about the San Andreas faultline, and we “know” that a flu pandemic will eventually come and kill untold numbers… but in our bones how much of this do we really know? For just as most if not all of these calamities are in the cards, we don’t know what will hit us first, what will just miss us, what will be pre-empted by some other disaster… and what experience does tell us is that most of the time, it’s not an unusual disaster that will kill you, but life as usual. More likely to be killed by your spouse than a serial killer, more likely to be hit by a speeding car than a planet-killing asteroid. That’s just life.

i started writing this on an evening home from the hospital, where the “swine flu” everyone was so scared of did indeed almost kill someone i hold dear. i write the above prior to writing what comes next. It’s a caveat, because i feel there is a harmful tendency to seize on the comic-book-super-spectacular calamities as a way of distracting ourselves from the everyday grind. And yet i do continue to write, because history contains both everyday violence and oppression, as well as spectacular stuff that would defy the imagination of any science fiction author.


What Autumn May Bring

Flu viruses normally go to the southern hemisphere this time of year, and return in the northern hemisphere’s fall season. That anticipated fall hit is expected to be more widespread than what has happened so far; deaths will definitely happen one way or another, just like they happen from the regular flu. (And from accidental falls. Not to mention traffic accidents.)

Compared to the regular flu, H1N1 seems slightly more deadly (0.25% as opposed to 0.1% fatality reported in the u.s. as of a few weeks ago, so one in four hundred instead on one in a thousand infected people) and because most of us have no pre-existing immunity it is expected to be slightly more prevalent (a quarter to a third of people in Canada are expected to get infected, as opposed to a fifth to a quarter with the normal flu). Slightly worst than regular flu season, but nothing cataclysmic. According to the WHO, while it is a pandemic (meaning it is present around the world) it is only an illness of moderate severity.

News reports seem to back up this relatively reassuring – and not necessarily inaccurate – picture. While thousands have officially been infected in Canada, for instance, less than fifty have died. This pattern is repeated around the world, or so it would seem, and stands in comforting contrast to the original reports of hundreds of dead in Mexico (since re-appraised to just over 100).

Yet there are holes in most of the media reports, holes which do not indicate conspiracy or impending doom, but which are worth noting. Holes which may explain some of the disconnect between the initial hype and the seemingly mild reality, a disconnect that can be triangulated with the tragedy that has played out amongst Indigenous people in Manitoba this summer. Holes from which i would suggest we may eventually draw elements of praxis, all the better to orient ourselves around and towards other sensational but potentially real disasters.

The main omission is easy to locate: the newspapers and government spokespeople have been quick to tell us how many are officially infected and how many have died, but for months they mentioned scarcely a detail about how those who died succumbed. Complementing this info-gap is the lack of any reporting on the numbers in ICUs or on ventilators (outside of Manitoba) - occasionally a report will indicate how many have been "hospitalized", but it remains unclear how many of these are in critical condition. And it is these facts that would actually be far more useful in terms of predicting the effect a possible spike in infections come the fall, and in identifying weak points in the medical infrastructure in time to correct them. A way of seeing which groups are most at risk of falling within those 25-33% who will probably become infected, in order to prevent this from happening.

You see, a certain number – and it’s currently impossible to know how many – of those non-deadly H1N1 cases are much like my husband’s: people in whom the virus does not follow its relatively benign trajectory, but in whom it provokes severe damage to the lungs and other organs. In my husband’s case, by the time we got to the ICU (after 72 hours in the ER) the flu had triggered septic shock – a failure of the circulatory system – and Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome, an oftentimes deadly devastation of the lungs caused when toxins spill into them from the blood system. ARDS is thought to be the cause of most of the deaths in Mexico in March.

The media reports so far do not tell us how many people with H1N1 have suffered these serious complications. This is important as once the virus leads to something as serious as ARDS the only thing preventing one from dying is the ready availability of a ventilator combined with intensive medical care (as a recent Australian report explains, "Non-invasive ventilation is unlikely to improve the outcome").

At the ICU of the hospital where we were living, the ratio of nurses to patients is always better than 1:2, and some of the doctors specialize in lung care, specifically in dealing with ARDS. A fancy oscillating ventilator was available as soon as my husband got to the ICU, and while some of the staff seemed distressed at the levels of “disorganization” regarding isolation procedures, as an outsider looking in all i saw was an incredibly smooth running operation. In terms of people who contract this flu, my husband is very unlucky, as the illness turned so horribly nasty. But in terms of people who suffer such a vicious bout of the flu, he was extremely lucky, receiving an incredible level of medical care at one of the best hospitals in the province.

My concern is largely informed by my impression that this level of care will prove far above that which most people will receive, especially if the numbers of serious cases spike and the medical system begins to strain. The term used to describe the system’s limits in such a scenario is “surge capacity”, and nobody seems to be publicly discussing what the surge capacity of the health care system overall, and more importantly in particularly vulnerable areas, might be. (Googling, i see that over the past week there has in fact been some public discussion of this element of the equation.)

We know of course what shape such a spike in infections would most likely take – it would be invisible to most people, or else would seem silly, the exception that proves the rule. It will not occur amongst “the population at large”, and will seem to be caused by intractable underlying factors. It will occur in communities that “already have problems”, and anything that exacerbates the situation – as for instance the government’s murderous decision to block the distribution of hand sanitizer to Indigenous communities – will be referred back to said problems. In other words, H1N1 will follow the contours of power and privilege, poverty and oppression, as already established in the world as it is.

& a surge in specific isolated communities could be devastating. This is where this question emerges within our line of sight. Without an ICU to keep him alive, my husband would be dead right now. If numbers of critically ill people surge in particular communities, the probability of individuals being deprived of such full-on care will quickly become all too real. Without knowing how many people are currently on ventilators and receiving intensive medical care, it is impossible to rationally gauge what kind of resources may become necessary later this year. If these resources are not available, that could easily change the mortality rate of this disease. (Anticipating the fall's surge, the government is currently trying to purchase enough ventilators to bring its own stockpile up to 500 - how and when these will be made available will be of some importance.)

Even if stricken individuals can be evacuated to big cities where extra ICU beds and ventilators may be found, a host of related, lesser but still important questions arise. For instance, how will families and friends of these sick individuals be supported to be around their loved ones? One serious complication that can arise from ARDS is Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder, and studies have specifically emphasized the inclusion of family members in ICU care as being a factor that can lessen this stress. With people being transported hundreds of kilometers from their homes, how will this care be ensured?

As large numbers of people end up in ICUs, potentially for many weeks, the question also arises as to what follow-up will be made available? The ICU experience, while necessary to keep one alive, is itself a serious assault on a person. Muscles atrophy after weeks in bed or unconscious, other health complications can occur, not least of which are psychological problems resulting from the trauma. Some hospitals have begun offering post-ICU clinics to help former patients deal with such aftereffects, but these are still rare in Canada.

So this could be a serious problem in some communities.


H1N1 and Us
Dealing with potential disasters provides a challenge to the rev left, one which we still do not solve easily. A correct approach would entail preparing to meet the needs of people after a disaster strikes (serving the people) while not adding to the hyperbole, panic, and conspiracy theories which breed so easily in disaster-oriented political activism. Ideally it would entail building our capacities in ways that will endure even when a potential disaster does not come to pass (and remember: it is in the nature of potential disasters that most of them will not come to pass). A correct line should provide an opportunity for us to radicalize ourselves and others, by deepening our connection with the oppressed. As disasters often provoke fear, and fear often provokes reactionary ideas, a correct approach should also contain an anti-fascist dimension, combatting exclusionary ideas and practices not only in society at large, but specifically within more vulnerable communities.

Those of us who do not live within frontline communities are ill-placed to assume any kind of leadership role in preparing to address this crisis. What we can do is start thinking about our capacities to provide aid as it might be requested. On an individual level this may involve volunteering to work in particular communities that may be ravaged by the flu (or other medical emergencies) later this year or further in the future - if such aid is requested. Collectively, this should build on work done establishing relationships with people already living these communities. During the crisis as Garden Hill chief David Harper ended up privately purchasing the hand sanitizer the federal government was refusing to provide - this is a low-level form of aid that the movement could help provide. More ambitiously, people from St. Theresa's Point were asking why no field hospital was being set up in their community - while we do not currently have the capacity to set up a field hospital, such is certainly within the purview of our responsibilities. After all, how can a movement that can't do that hope to some day wage a.s.?

& of course, in all these circumstances, the movement's material capacities (or lack thereof) notwithstanding, pre-existing relationships with people on the ground in these communities - communities which suffer from overcrowding, poor sanitation, and populations already stricken by "pre-existing medical conditions" and deprived of adequate medical resources - will be paramount. As many revolutionaries already live in such communities, it is not so much a matter of the movement having to act in solidarity with "other people" as it is of recentering the movement around those of our comrades already living these realities.

Finally, i have to repeat - in an absolutely worst case scenario, H1N1 will still not be a horror move end of the world catastrophe, or even close. Most people will know many people who get sick (or will get sick themselves) and it will be no big deal at all, and everyone may well be laughing about how overblown their previous fears were. This is not because it won't potentially be devastating for small pockets of people, but because most of us have unrealistic ideas about what a moderately severe flu pandemic is - it is not the end of the world or the plague or anything like that. So in our rhetoric we have to acknowledge loud and clear that (barring some highly unlikely and nasty mutation) the threat is to particular vulnerable pockets of population, that it is not certain, but it is a real danger and that in order to be responsible certain precautions - i.e. medically empowering and getting resources available for vulnerable populations - should be taken.

More on this later...