Roland NBA Hard Play Report

Five "Coaching Factors" Summary

• Raw Physicality Wins Leaders - Sengun 46, Davis 29, Gafford 29


• Playing Hard Wins per 36min leaders - Thompson 14.6, Marshall 14.4, Dinwiddie 12.1, Davis 11.6, Washington 11.1
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• Decision Making poor decisions - Sheppard 3, Brooks 3, Davis 3


• Shotmaking own shots - Dallas +9, Houston +2


• Overt Referee Argues: Dallas 11, Houston 9.
  High argue players: Marshall 3, Davis 2, Sengun 2.

Team Physicality Summary

Winner: DALLAS

Tracking over forty types of contact, aggression, and resilience

Header notes:
RPR = "Roland Physicality Rating" (in development), Wins = a Physicality play that is deemed a 'win', L/D = Losses/Defeats (non-intentional fouls and soft plays), L2+ = level 2 or higher force physicality plays, Falls = player hits the ground, KD = Knockdowns: causes opponent to hit the ground

Notable Team Physicality Details

"Net Knocks" - Sengun +7, Thompson +5
Knockdowns - Thompson 9, Sengun 7
Falls - Irving 7, Gafford 5

Head-to-Head Physicality
Gafford +6 vs Thompson
Sengun +5 vs Gafford
Washington +5 vs Thompson

Player Physicality Stats

DALLAS MAVERICKS

HOUSTON ROCKETS

Physicality as a Foundation—Not Yet a Final Word

• Why are the "Playing Hard" wins seemingly so significant? (the team with the better game score has won over 80% in our sample of games). Are there compounding effects when multiple PH stars are in the game together?


• Should teams put more emphasis on the Hard Play guys in roster construction? (And shout-out to all the important UNDRAFTED hustle players in the Finals: Dort, Caruso, McConnell -- pay attention for the next Vegas Summer League breakouts! )


• How far can a team go with solid decision making? Currently this is tracking as an 80% predictor of who wins.


• Will other teams seek to up their ball pressure/swipes at the ball seeing the OKC success and runaway turnover edge numbers? Is this a skill that can be coached up, or does OKC have players who are especially well suited to the job?


• Can we identify player archetypes —like Gafford— who challenge certain players like an Amen Thompson? Is there consistency in head to head physicality dominance?


• Shai's performance in the playoffs was masterful but how dependent is he on current officiating? His go-to "clear out space for a jumper with his forearm shove" never got whistled for an offensive foul or a travel in the finals. How can players maximize the referee effects in their favor?

What Kind of Physicality Wins?

• Winning the “Playing Hard” effort count won the game 84% of the time!
• The better “Decision Making” team is running an 80% win rate.
• Physicality Rating (RPR): Teams winning this stat won the game 71% of the time.
• Total Physicality Wins: 70% game win rate.
• Ballhandler Pressure/Swipes at Ball: 65% win rate. A key OKC weapon.
• Bumps/pushes/grabs/get-frees: 61% win rate.