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Accuracy vs. robustness: bi-criteria optimized ensemble of metamodels

Published: 07 December 2014 Publication History

Abstract

Simulation has been widely used in modeling engineering systems. A metamodel is a surrogate model used to approximate a computationally expensive simulation model. Extensive research has investigated the performance of different metamodeling techniques in terms of accuracy and/or robustness and concluded no model outperforms others across diverse problem structures. Motivated by this finding, this research proposes a bi-criteria (accuracy and robustness) optimized ensemble framework to optimally identify the contributions from each metamodel (Kriging, Support Vector Regression and Radial Basis Function), where uncertainties are modeled for evaluating robustness. Twenty-eight functions from the literature are tested. It is observed for most problems, a Pareto Frontier is obtained, while for some problems only a single point is obtained. Seven geometrical and statistical metrics are introduced to explore the relationships between the function properties and the ensemble models. It is concluded that the bi-criteria optimized ensembles render not only accurate but also robust metamodels.

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  • (2016)A recommendation system for meta-modelingExpert Systems with Applications: An International Journal10.1016/j.eswa.2015.10.02146:C(33-44)Online publication date: 15-Mar-2016

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cover image ACM Conferences
WSC '14: Proceedings of the 2014 Winter Simulation Conference
December 2014
4032 pages

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IEEE Press

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Published: 07 December 2014

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WSC '14: Winter Simulation Conference
December 7 - 10, 2014
Georgia, Savannah

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WSC '14 Paper Acceptance Rate 205 of 320 submissions, 64%;
Overall Acceptance Rate 3,413 of 5,075 submissions, 67%

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  • (2016)A recommendation system for meta-modelingExpert Systems with Applications: An International Journal10.1016/j.eswa.2015.10.02146:C(33-44)Online publication date: 15-Mar-2016

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