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95th Oscars. Predictions for the Films of 2024/ CEREMONY: March 2, 2025
 For prediction, discussion, entertainment purposes only discuss on the blog

OSCAR CEREMONY IN REVIEW

  

AND THE WINNERS ARE "FLOW" AND "NO OTHER LAND"

and the nominees were... 
(scroll down for shorts categories)


OSCAR FINAL VOTING: February 11-18, 2025
OSCAR NIGHT: Sunday March 2, 2025

 

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Stats reflect animation categories only 

FLOW
Gints Zilbadolis, Matiss Kaza, Ron Dyens, Gregory Zalcman first nominations and wins for all!

 

Janus Films / Sideshow
Qualifying

Also Nominated in Best International Film

previous wins: EFA

INSIDE OUT 2
Mark Nielsen (2nd nom | 1 win), Kelsey Mann first nomination!

Disney/Pixar
June

previous wins: 

MEMOIR OF A SNAIL
Adam Elliot (2nd nom | 1 win), Liz Kearney first nomination! 

IFC Films
October 

previous wins: 

WALLACE & GROMIT: VENGEANCE MOST FOWL
Nick Park (7th nomination | 4 wins), Merlin Crossingham & Richard Peek first nomination for each!

Aardman / Netflix December

previous wins: 

 

WILD ROBOT
Chris Sanders (4th nom)
Jeff Hermann first nomination!

Universal/ Dreamworks
September

Also nominated in Best Original Score and Best Sound

previous wins: 

READER'S POLL (VOTE DAILY)
.
Much to the delight of your host here FLOW was also the reader favourite in this category. and then it won the Oscar!

WHAT WILL WIN?

Given its nomination tally (3 which is strong for Animated Features) we expect that The Wild Robot will win this with ease. It's a good movie, too, which makes the lock not too disappointing. If there's an upset, it will obviously be Flow which people have happily caught on to.

PREDICTION: WILD ROBOT
ALTERNATE: FLOW

 

WHAT SHOULD WIN? NATHANIEL'S PICK

My heart -- my very soul -- is with Flow. Sorry to the others, whatever their charms.
 

 

WHAT WAS LEFT OUT?

Most pundits predicted these five so it probably wasn't close. That said Disney's Moana 2 made a last minute surge helped by big box office. Earlier in the year War of the Rohirrim and Piece by Piece seemed like high profile possibilities but they didn't catch fire with audiences or the industry. Well respected international options like Chicken for Linda, Living Large, Kensuke's Kingdom, and Sultana's Dream ran into the typical problem for international titles: voters usually only notice one title en masse from the dozens on view and this year that was Flow.

The rest of the eligibility list: Art College 1994, Captain Avispa, The Colors Within, The Day the Earth Blew Up: A Looney Tunes Movie, Despicable Me 4, The Garfield Movie, Ghost Cat Anzu, The Glassworker (also submitted for International Feature), The Imaginary, Kung Fu Panda 4, Look Back, Mars Express, Rocket Club: Across the Cosmos, Sirocco and the Kingdom of Winds, Spellbound, That Christmas, Thelma the Unicorn, Transformers One, and Ultraman: Rising 

 

TRIVIA & ANECDOTES
         
         
 

 

BEST ANIMATED SHORT
Stats reflect animation categories only
BEAUTIFUL MEN
Nicolas Keppens & Brecht Van Elslande first nominations for both! 
IN THE SHADOW OF THE CYPRESS

Shirin Sohani & Hossein Molayemi
MAGIC CANDIES
Daisuke Nishio & Takashi Washio
WANDER TO WONDER
Nina Gantz & Stienette Bosklopper

YUCK
Loïc Espuche & Juliette Marquet 

READER'S POLL (VOTE DAILY)
.
TFE Readers longed for a BEAUTIFUL MEN win but it was the second place finisher IN THE SHADOW OF THE CYPRESS that took the Oscar. 

WHAT WILL WIN?

The shorts categories never feel like they have strong frontrunners -- perhaps because they're far less politicized and discussed. So while anything could win we suspect it goes like so...

PREDICTION: Wander to Wonder
ALTERNATE: Beautiful Men

 

WHAT SHOULD WIN? NATHANIEL'S PICK

My favourite is easily the delicious and clever Magic Candies which feels like childhood with its imaginative leaps and its bittersweet limitations

 

WHAT WAS LEFT OUT?

Of the finalists I was quite fond of Bottle George, The Wild Tempered Cavalier, A Crab in the Pool, and Maybe Elephants

 

 

 

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Stats reflect this category only... * means they've also been recognized elsewhere
BLACK BOX DIARIES
Eric Nyari (first two nominations this year), Shiori Itô, Hanna Aqvilin first nominations for both!
 NO OTHER LAND
Basel Adra, Rachel Szor, Hamdan Ballal, Yuval Abraham first nominations for all!
PORCELAIN WAR
Brendan Bellomo, Aniel Sidorska, Slava Leontyev, and Paula DuPré Pesmen first nominations for all!
 SOUNDTRACK TO A COUP D'ETAT
Rémi Greliety (2nd nomination), Johan Grimonprez, Daan Milius first nominations for each!

 SUGARCANE
NOMINEES TBD

READER'S POLL (VOTE DAILY)
.
Before OScar night results were in TFE readers also indicated a very strong preference for NO OTHER LAND. 

WHAT WILL WIN?

Consensus appears to believe this is a battle between No Other Land and Porcelain War with some devotees of Soundtrack to a Coup D'Etat hanging around the edges holding out hope.

PREDICTION: No Other Land
ALTERNATE: Porcelain War

 

WHAT WAS LEFT OUT?

Super Man The Christopher Reeve story was the highest profile snub and among the finalists, many were fond of Will & Harper. 

 

 

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Stats reflect this category only... * means they've also been recognized elsewhere
DEATH BY NUMBERS
Kim A Snyder, Janique L Robillard
I AM READY, WARDEN
Smriti Mundhra (2nd nomination), Maya Gnyp first nomination!
INCIDENT
Bill Morrison & Jamie Kalven
INSTRUMENTS OF A BEATING HEART
Eric Nyari (two nominations this year) & Ema Ryan Yamazaki 
ONLY GIRL IN THE ORCHESTRA

Molly O'Brien & Lisa Remington first nominations for both!
READER'S POLL 
.
While votes were fairly evenly split among three films, the Oscar winner Only Girl in the Orchestra also came out on top here. 

WHAT WILL WIN?
PREDICTION: Only Girl in the ORchestra
ALTERNATE: I Am Ready, Warden
 

 

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
Stats reflect this category only... * means they've also been recognized elsewhere
 A LIEN
Sam Culter-Kreutz & David Cutler-Kreutz first nominations for both!
ANUJA
Adam J Graves & Suchitra Mattai
I'M NOT A ROBOT

Trent & Victoria Warmerdam
THE LAST RANGER
Cindy Lee & Darwin Shaw
THE MAN WHO COULD NOT REMAIN SILENT
Nebosa Slijepcevic & Danijel Pek
READER'S POLL (VOTE DAILY)
.
TFE readers preferred The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent but the future Oscar winner I'm Not a Robot was their second favourite. 


WHAT WILL WIN?
PREDICTION: The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent
ALTERNATE: A Lien

 

WHAT SHOULD WIN? NATHANIEL'S PICK

I haven't seen them all so I shouldnt say but The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent was so potent and timely. 
 

 

Index | Picture | Actress | Actor | Supp Actor | Supp ActressDirector 
Screenplays | Visuals | Music and Sound | Animation & Docs | International Film