- Cisco is approaching weekly resistance line and weekly ichimoku cloud.
- Daily chart is looking very bullish with 200 and 50 Day SMA about to do a golden cross.
- Price may try to shakeout the week bulls before the moving average cross over So the weekly resistance levels might come into play here.
- Bulls will be stronger if price does not get resisted near the weekly resistance line and cloud.
My blog Analyses the trend and patterns of stocks, Futures, Commodities and Forex Markets
October 31, 2011
CISCO Near Resistance Line
ES Trend update
- ES is giving some relief for bears as of now. But the trend lines and the 50 Period SMA of four hour chart may give support for taking it up again.
- For bears the close below 50 Period SMA shown in the second chart should be convincing for a bigger fall to happen. Dip towards this level has taken support 3 times in the past. We have to see how price reacts from this level when it gets there.
- S&P 500 WEEKEND UPDATE
SILVER Trend update
- Last week's rally of silver failed to close above 50 Week SMA and 50% Fib retrace levels.
- Now if hour continues to stay below 50 Hour sma we may see bears of Silver getting stronger.
- S&P 500 WEEKEND UPDATE
INFOSYS Chart analysis
- Infosys is testing a resistance line in weekly chart.
- Price is also testing its month high ema.
- For bulls price should do a close above month High EMA for continuing this up move.
- Daily charts are showing overbought stochastic readings. But MACD is still in buy mode with Some negative divergence.
- Another important thing to track for IT stock is the movement of USDINR. I have done an analysis on the trend of USDINR today: CLICK HERE TO SEE USDINR TREND UPDATE
- NIFTY WEEKEND UPDATE
October 30, 2011
NIFTY Weekend Update
- From resistance lines, Month High EMA to Ichimoku cloud everything is showing resistances till 5550 levels. But it is suggested to wait till one sees weakness before going short.
- Bearish candles in daily chart after hitting the resistance line will be a safe place to short.
- S&P 500 WEEKEND UPDATE
S&P 500 Weekend update
- Multiple resistance levels were this up move can end are shown. Price momentum for now is with the bulls. And the longer they stay above the 200 Day SMA the stronger they become.
- Although the risk reward ratio favors a sell here, It will be foolish to fight against the trend until we see some weakness. At these levels Daily close below 200 SMA will be the first sign of weakness.
October 27, 2011
SILVER Resistance levels
- Silver Resistance levels in weekly chart.
- 50 Week sma and 50 % Fib retrace levels are at the same area. So this level will be tough to break for silver bulls.
- ES NEGATIVE DIVERGENCE
ES Negative Divergence
CHART-II
CHART-I
- ES Four hour is moving up with negative divergence.
- Price and MACD is diverging.
- Price may hit the resistance line once more before the correction can start. A false spike above the resistance line is also possible.
- Divergence need price confirmation before one can go short. So if price sustains above the resistance line then the divergence will vanish.
Falling Wedge of US Dollar
CHART-II
- Wedge has broken the support line. Price is also staying below 200 Day SMA. Daily candles closing below 200 SMA will favor a bearish trade now.
CHART-I
- US Dollar Four hour chart is forming a falling wedge pattern
- Falling wedge is bullish reversal pattern So price need to break the falling resistance line for USD to move up which means Stocks might start to fall.
- Price breaking the lower boundary will invalidate or reduced the credibility of this pattern.
October 26, 2011
ES Trend Update
- ES Four hour chart with 50 period Moving average.
- Price has given a pull back from this moving average twice during this up move.
- Price is testing the moving average again. Higher low Higher High structure is not yet violated. Breaking the last swing low will change things in favor of bears.
- GOLD NEAR 50 DAY SMA
NIFTY Analysis
- Nifty weekly candle is testing its 20 week moving average or the Middle Bollinger band. A convincing close above this level can extend this up move. On the contrary if the weekly candle closes below 20 Week SMA we may see some bearishness.
- Daily chart too has resistances in the form of 100 SMA and the GAP. GAP closes at 5323.
- GOLD DAILY CHART ANALYSIS
October 25, 2011
SPY Trend Update
- Hour up trend is not yet changed.
- Price falling below the trend line and 50 Hour SMA will be warning signs for bulls.
- Price sustaining below the cloud may lead to a sell off.
- GOLD DAILY CHART ANALYSIS
ES Trend update
- ES Daily chart shows price getting resisted near previous support area. Daily candles are not able to close above this line.
- For bulls price has to close the day above this level for continuing the up move which is going to be tough for bulls.
- Four hour chart shows the up trend line and Horizontal support line which are important for bulls to hold.
- CRUDE OIL BREAKOUT
SBI Chart Analysis
- SBI was not able to stay above 50 Day Moving average, Was stopped exactly at the cloud too. With overbought stochastic if sustains below 1886 will attract more selling.
- S&P 500 EOD ANALYSIS
S&P 500 Analysis after closing bell
- SPX is near previous support level which may act as resistance.
- 50 Week moving average is near 1266 levels.
- Four hour time frame has started to diverge. No trend line break yet which might trigger a correction.
- So we may see a correction from 1260 - 1270 levels.
- CRUDE OIL ABOVE RESISTANCE LEVELS
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