Here it is, just a few hours behind schedule: my list of predictions and favorites. Explanations will follow in separate entries in about six or seven hours, i.e. after I wake up. Do feel encouraged to post your own predictions in the comments thread.
Tale of the Tape24 Oscar categories
113 nominations
58 films nominated
I have seen 17 nominated films accounting for 48 nominations.
I did not see any of the animated features, animated shorts, documentary shorts, or live action shorts.
See the first comment for the complete list of all 26 first-run features for 2006 that I've seen.
BEST PICTUREbest picture: The Lives of Others (not nominated)
best nominated: The Queen
(would not mind: The Departed)
PREDICTION: BabelDIRECTOR
best director: Florian Henckel von Donnersmarck, The Lives of Others (not nominated)
best nominated: Martin Scorsese
(would not mind: Stephen Frears)
(should have been nominated: Pedro Almodóvar)
PREDICTION: Martin ScorseseACTOR IN A LEADING ROLEbest actor: Forest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland; and Ulrich Mühe, The Lives of Others (not nominated)
PREDICTION: Forest WhitakerACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLEbest actress: Helen Mirren, The Queen
(would not mind: Penelope Cruz)
(should have been nominated: Ivana Baquero, Pan's Labyrinth)
PREDICTION: Helen MirrenACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
best supporting actor: Michael Sheen, The Queen (not nominated)
best nominated: Mark Wahlberg, The Departed
PREDICTION: Mark WahlbergACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLEbest supporting actress: Abigail Breslin, Little Miss Sunshine
PREDICTION: Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
best screenplay: Peter Morgan, The Queen; and Florian Henckel von Donnersmarck, The Lives of Others (not nominated)
PREDICTION: Peter Morgan, The Queen
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
best adapted screenplay: William Monahan, The Departed
(should have been nominated: Frank Cottrell Boyce, Tristram Shandy)
PREDICTION: William Monahan, The Departed
FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
best foreign-language film: Das Leben der Anderen (The Lives of Others)
PREDICTION: Pan's LabyrinthART DIRECTION
best art direction: Eugenio Caballero and Pilar Revuelta, Pan's Labyrinth
PREDICTION: Pan's LabyrinthCINEMATOGRAPHYbest cinematography: Emmanuel Lubezki, Children of Men
(would not mind: Guillermo Navarro, Pan's Labyrinth)
PREDICTION: Children of MenFILM EDITINGbest editing: Clare Douglas, Christopher Rouse, and Richard Pearson, United 93
PREDICTION: Thelma Schoonmaker, The Departed
ANIMATED FEATUREPREDICTION: Happy FeetORIGINAL SCOREPREDICTION: Alexandre Desplat, The Queen
ORIGINAL SONGPREDICTION: 'Our Town' by Randy Newman (music and lyrics), from Cars
COSTUME DESIGNbest costume design: Milena Canonero, Marie Antoinette
PREDICTION: Marie Antoinette[I may revise this one after watching The Devil Wears Prada on dvd later today.]
MAKEUP
PREDICTION: David Marti and Montse Ribe, Pan's Labyrinth
DOCUMENTARY FEATUREPREDICTION: An Inconvenient Truth, Davis Guggenheim
SOUND MIXINGPREDICTION: Michael Minkler, Bob Beemer, and Willie Burton, Dreamgirls
Note: this film had the worst sound mixing of the year, but that's my prediction.
SOUND EDITING
PREDICTION: Alan Robert Murray, Letters from Iwo Jima
VISUAL EFFECTS
PREDICTION: John Knoll, Hal Hickel, Charles Gibson and Allen Hall, 'Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest'
SHORT FILM - ANIMATEDPREDICTION: The Danish Poet, Torill Kove
SHORT FILM - LIVE ACTIONPREDICTION: West Bank Story, Ari Sandel
DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECTPREDICTION: The Blood of Yingzhou District, Ruby Yang and Thomas Lennon
Labels: cinema, Oscars