So now that the GE is all over, it is time for me to make some noise! It was slightly bemusing how so many people thought I should be some sort of expert because I study political science. Well, yes and no. I could explain the voting system, but like everybody else, I wouldn't know how much things like HDB prices and gay agendas would affect the ruling party. Pol Science is more than just Singapore; there are lots of other countries and international organizations to concern ourselves with.
The loss of George Yeo is a big blow to Singapore no doubt. Our neighbours are not happy when MM says certain "hard truths", or when Temasek tries to buy over Shin Corp. But with our Foreign Minister, all is fine. They even look up to him, and credit him for pushing ASEAN hard as a credible regional entity. As a small, trading nation, our foreign relations are crucial. It requires more than just a minister to sit at the apex of the organizational structure and watch the career civil servants do all the work. He has to do the hard work himself too, like respectfully engaging other foreign diplomats even if they are downright dimwitted, gamely eating strange food he might not like, attending conferences that don't lead to anywhere and so on. It is important but hard work, the pool of capable candidates to fill such large shoes is small but more opposition voices are apparently of greater necessity.
And so this is how it really came down to local-level concerns versus national level concerns. Some people have said that the GRC system is solely to blame for the loss of a two ministers and a permanent secretary. If there was no such system, then the three of them would still be in parliament. I'm not so sure. Assuming Singapore was divided into 87 single member constituencies. Each MP, including the ministers have to fight their own fight. The likely scenario then would be that the Ministers would retain their seats, as would the influential Opposition leaders. The majority of the remaining seats would most likely go to PAP candidates since they are, at this point in time, the largest and most structured party. However, just like how winning a GRC would be a "watershed", eventually, the Opposition would turn their eyes to a Minister-held constituency as a big gain for the Opposition. And so the Minister, who is supposed to look after national level concerns, has to spend more time now fighting at the local level. Apparently for the sake of democracy. Apparently for the sake of checks and balances.
The problem really is the voting and political system that Singapore uses which is (surprise surprise!) an inheritance from the British. It cannot be emphasized enough that voting system and political system are two different things.
First, voting systems. In Pol Science terms, Singapore, like Britain, uses the First Past the Post system (FPTP). Whoever gets the most wins; the margin of victory is irrelevant. This is like the crucial first step that all political commentator wannabes must understand. I've read forum postings by people moaning about how 60% of the votes can translate into 81 out of 87 seats and I feel like knocking their heads! If 75 marks is what you need to get an A1, then it doesn't matter whether you get 75 or full marks for everything; in the eyes of MOE, you are a six-pointer. Or if you need 9 min 45 secs for your 2.4km timing to get a Gold. You ran it in 8 mins last year but took 9 mins 30 secs this year. Terrible drop in fitness, but records-wise, you are Gold standard still. Not surprising then, that FPTP favours bigger political parties since they have just enough to cross the line and their gains are exaggerated. For the losing party, even if you had 49.99% of the vote, you lost and nothing for you - the winner takes it all. The alternative to FPTP is the Proportional Representation. As its name implies, you receive what you earned. 60% of the vote? Then 60% of the seats for you. Small parties love this system and why not? Even 1 or 2% of the vote will be rewarded with a couple of seats. If it was FPTP, sorry, but you lose your deposit!
But perhaps what is more relevant to the recent GE is the political system. In particular, the relationship between the legislature and the executive. In Singapore and the UK, every minister is first and foremost an MP. MPs from both ruling and opposition parties form the legislature. The job of the legislature is to represent the voices of the people. From amongst the MPs, the Prime Minister (who is also an MP himself), selects his ministers, and together, the ministers form the executive in addition to their roles as MPs in the legislature. In terms of policy, policies are usually initiated by the executive, debated by the legislature, approved by the legislature and then executed by the executive. That is why calls for George Yeo to continue as Foreign Minister somehow cannot be allowed. The idea is that you have to have the approval of the citizens at the ground level first (via winning a seat in the legislature) before you can be considered part of the executive. It makes sense, but as mentioned earlier, it blurs local level issues with national level issues.
Take George Yeo's American counterpart, Hillary Clinton. She doesn't have to worry about lack of car park space in Alabama or rising costs in Alaska or the opposition wanting to be a co-driver in Arizona. She was appointed to be America's Secretary of State (the equivalent of FM) and that is her job, period. This is because the US adopts a different system to us. It emphasizes the separation of legislature and executive. President Obama is the head of the executive and he appoints Clinton and the other members of the executive. Winning his own presidential election gives him the right to do so and that is their full time jobs. It is not their jobs to double-hat as a legislator. The were chosen based on their expertise. The legislature on the other hand, is the voice of the people. They are the MP-equivalents. They have to go around and shake hands and attend functions and so on. The legislature is sub-divided into the Senate and the House of Representatives. Historically, this was to resolve the big state vs small state dilemma. Its not quite GRC vs SMC, but the Senate gives all the states both big and small 2 senate seats each. Equal treatment for all = 100 senators in total from the 50 states. The House on the other hand, consists of 435 seats as allowed in the much revered American Constitution (unlike the Singapore one, which nobody has really read or seen), and each state is guaranteed at least 1 seat. So after subtracting the 50 guaranteed seats, that leaves 385 seats to be distributed to the states according to the size of population.
Those who are sharp would immediately see that "according to the size of population" sounds very much like the GRC explanation we get doesn't it? And just in case you think the US isn't above redrawing electoral districts, think again. Their Census Bureau does a census every ten years (as required by their Constitution - see how much they love it?). Those who gain populations in proportion to the total population will gain seats and vice versa - so long as the total number stays at 435. For example, in the next election in 2012, Texas and Florida will be among those that will gain, while New York and New Jersey will be among those that will lose. Although it claims to be bipartisan, the political parties don't always agree. Sounds familiar doesn't it?
Just for the sake of indulging in some "Follow America - the bastion of democracy" dreaming, I have been thinking about this: Singapore has an executive that is separate from the legislature (consisting of Senate and House), so competent Foreign Ministers can serve and the Housing Minister is, well, chosen for his competence. To avoid confusion, GRCs, SMCs, Doctor's MCs (oops! just joking!) are abolished. The boundaries of all constituencies are instead fixed but the number of seats in the House per constituency can change based on population. The committee that decides the change are the overseas Singaporeans, since their votes have historically never tipped the balance in anybody's favour and so they are deemed neutral enough. The Pulau Ubin and Marina Bay constituencies are then in a dilemma because they dont have enough people to fill the single House seat and two senate seats. The Lim Chu Kang constituency had the same problem, but it was resolved when two generals who were previously contesting other areas volunteered to shift house back to their beloved barracks in order to stand for election there. Otherwise, there were fears that Lim Chu Kang might not exist 100 years from now. Meanwhile, all is quiet in the West with little opposition activity, but in the East, things are heating up. In Aljunied, the residents, fearful of the decreasing values of their homes, start moving out in droves to Marine Parade constituency. So Aljunied gets reduced from an "A" (as in best) team to A (as in one) single seat in the House, which means Low TK and Sylvia have to scissors, paper, stone "best of five". The winner gets the seat, the loser gets to slap the winner from time to time. In neighbouring Marine Parade, SM looks on at his enlarged constituency, beaming like a proud grandfather as pretty girls armed with branded bags fight it out for the ten new seats up for grabs. But don't worry, veterans Tin PL and Nicole are not involved - they have cordially agreed to take one senate seat each. The same sort of civility is witnessed in Hougang where both the ruling party and opposition candidates have cordially agreed to a similar arrangement. Despite the noise going on from upgrading works across the road at a different constituency, the deal was struck in a run-down coffee shop and the news greeted with cheers in Teochew by the residents. No such deal could be reached in Potong Pasir because the candidates were too busy trying to suppress a "spoil your vote" movement that had suddenly sprung up. Husband and wife teams are not allowed to take the two senate seats together, but there appeared to be some confusion over homosexual couples, a point mercilessly attacked by some activists. After the elections to the legislature are over, there is still no place for the popular Chiam ST and out of public sympathy (and a sneak attempt to boost his ratings), the president appoints him to his executive branch as Minister for Veteran Affairs, as well as to lead a task force in researching how many O Levels are enough to succeed in life. The Mentor Minister is given a new portfolio - to counsel and forgive those who wish to repent and regret. But after the dust settles, we have a First World Parliament! It is the third-last step to be First World Everything (Giving up seats to those who need it more and Speaking Proper English are the last steps). Because there is a separate Executive, as well as the Senate and the House, it is bigger in size than the previous third world parliament. More MP allowances have to be paid out, but its okay, because we have lots of small change in the reserves.