All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg All-In Podcast, LLC

(0:00) Bestie intros!
(0:38) Election update: Dems energize around Kamala, policy questions remain
(19:33) Trump's NABJ interview: smart or risky?
(33:07) Markets expect rate cut in September, but are we already in a recession?
(40:58) AI buildout causing short-term volatility
(45:46) Assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh: are we inching closer to war in the Middle East?
(1:06:17) Bill Ackman withdraws Pershing Square USA IPO
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://twitter.com/Jason
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow on X:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
Follow on Instagram:
https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod
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https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod
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https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/harris-boycotts-netanyahu-snubs-israeli-leaders-wartime-address-give-sorority-speech
https://nypost.com/2024/07/24/us-news/media-change-tune-on-calling-kamala-harris-border-czar-despite-giving-her-the-title
https://x.com/jeffstorobinsky/status/1818722254542590012
https://apnews.com/business/inflation-general-news-31d83873be23c658d66526745482d572
https://x.com/grdecter/status/1819362069797654784
https://www.wsj.com/economy/consumers/inflation-interest-rates-wealth-loans-51d4276e
https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/initial-us-employment-reports-overstated-jobs
https://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/q1-gdp-slows-inflation-dips
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amd-stock-jumps-after-earnings-beat-driven-by-ai-chip-sales-202456320.html
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/31/nvidia-stock-up-after-microsoft-amd-quell-fears-ai-buildout-too-fast.html
https://www.ft.com/content/bad6ca0b-82fb-4ddb-b6b8-bd09dacd47ae
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/01/world/middleeast/how-hamas-leader-haniyeh-killed-iran-bomb.html
https://archive.nytimes.com/www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/06/01/world/middleeast/how-a-secret-cyberwar-program-worked.html?hp
https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/bill-ackman-pulls-investment-fund-ipo-after-shrinking-its-size-85ba1a17

(0:00) Bestie intros: Nostracanis appears!
(3:50) Wiz turns down Google's $23B offer, intends to IPO
(13:30) CrowdStrike's rough week
(17:51) Market update: Mag 7 sell-off?
(22:47) Sam Altman's UBI study was a mixed bag
(42:02) Succession IRL: Rupert Murdoch's children are in a legal battle over the future of his media empire
(48:35) Biden out, Kamala in: Hot swap complete, speed-run primary subverted
(1:03:08) Antisemitism rising, Josh Shapiro as a VP candidate
(1:08:37) Sacks responds to smear campaign
(1:26:46) Science Corner: China's nuclear buildout
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://twitter.com/Jason
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow on X:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
Follow on Instagram:
https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod
Follow on TikTok:
https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod
Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/23/google-wiz-deal-dead.html
https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-71924-big-tech
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/12/snowflake-shares-slip-after-att-says-hackers-accessed-data.html
https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2024/07/crowdstrike-blames-testing-bugs-for-security-update-that-took-down-8-5m-windows-pcs
https://www.crowdstrike.com/blog/falcon-update-for-windows-hosts-technical-details
https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/23/business/delta-flight-cancellations/index.html
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CRWD:NASDAQ
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/23/alphabet-set-to-report-q2-earnings-results-after-the-bell.html
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/VIX:INDEXCBOE
https://public.websites.umich.edu/~mille/ORUS_Health.pdf
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/24/business/media/rupert-murdoch-succession-fox.html
https://apnews.com/article/fox-news-dominion-lawsuit-trial-trump-2020-0ac71f75acfacc52ea80b3e747fb0afe
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/07/22/us/politics/kamala-harris-democrats-endorsement-list.html
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4790684-kamala-harris-polls-donald-trump-wisconsin
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/05/us/politics/biden-interview-stephanopoulos-abc.html
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/03/biden-no-ones-pushing-me-out-00166497
https://www.axios.com/2024/07/23/inside-harris-sprint-democratic-nomination
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/21/why-biden-dropped-out-00170106
https://apnews.com/article/biden-election-trump-democrats-329071c25dfaaae583b5f06184586267
https://x.com/JoeBiden/status/1815080881981190320
https://x.com/paulg/status/1816334112086712830
https://x.com/paulg/status/1771640321446683060
https://www.sec.gov/files/litigation/admin/2017/33-10429.pdf
https://x.com/mwseibel/status/1816542692727488784

(0:00) Bestie intros: Live from the RNC!
(1:34) Reacting to the assassination attempt against President Trump
(12:52) Impact of charged rhetoric
(21:15) Secret Service's massive failure; institutional decay
(37:02) Inside the RNC: Sacks breaks down his speech
(41:16) Trump picks JD Vance as his running mate
(58:52) All-In Summit scholarship applications are LIVE!
(59:46) VC update: Exits creeping back, Sequoia's secondary offering for Stripe, Google in talks to acquire Wiz for $23B
Apply for the All-In Summit:
https://summit.allinpodcast.co
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://twitter.com/Jason
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow on X:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
Follow on Instagram:
https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod
Follow on TikTok:
https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok
Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Sacks RNC speech:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rLArznk0Ns4
Jason's links (16:34):
https://pt.icct.nl/article/donald-trump-aggressive-rhetoric-and-political-violence
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/08/11/business/media/el-paso-killer-conservative-media.html
https://www.vice.com/en/article/wx83v4/even-trumps-defense-secretary-during-the-capitol-riot-blames-him-for-inciting-it
Referenced in the show:
https://www.foxnews.com/us/trumps-attempted-assassin-posted-message-before-shooting-july-13-my-premiere-watch-unfolds
https://abcnews.go.com/US/trump-assassination-attempt-investigation-continues-new-details/story?id=112020474
https://x.com/TeslaVee/status/1813785645472690479
https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/08/politics/fact-check-trump-january-6/index.html
https://x.com/DylanByers/status/1811855698566975936
https://x.com/newrepublic/status/1810009748697448541
https://pt.icct.nl/sites/default/files/import/pdf/nacos-et-al.pdf
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/08/11/business/media/el-paso-killer-conservative-media.html
https://www.vice.com/en/article/wx83v4/even-trumps-defense-secretary-during-the-capitol-riot-blames-him-for-inciting-it
https://apnews.com/article/trump-rubio-vance-burgum-scott-stefanik-vp-11ec39b0da11152ad110ff987d4eaeee
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pot7R0Affjs
https://x.com/cb_doge/status/1813289249288134660
https://x.com/mualphaxi/status/1812579998735491327
https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1813270784942494110
https://theintercept.com/2022/07/14/jan-6-texts-deleted-secret-service
https://x.com/yashar/status/1813757637584134615
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/16/us/politics/trump-vance-vp-decision.html
https://x.com/VivekGRamaswamy/status/1812929198433964249
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/07/17/peter-thiel-boosted-jd-vance-career/74397520007
https://x.com/RitaPanahi/status/1813790835332595863
https://x.com/RWTNews/status/1813779819697725669
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h4FnpoNU8AI
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xejs4gGUpjE
https://www.axios.com/2024/07/15/sequoia-capital-stripe
https://www.wsj.com/business/deals/google-near-23-billion-deal-for-cybersecurity-startup-wiz-622edf1a
https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q2-2024-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor-first-look
https://www.axios.com/2024/07/18/president-biden-drop-out-election-democrats
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XJP2zlH2nt8
https://www.semafor.com/article/07/17/2024/donors-cash-is-drying-up-jeffrey-katzenberg-warns-biden-in-private-meeting

(0:00) Bestie intros!
(4:29) Macro picture: Soft landing secured? Rate cut on the horizon? Plus: partisan economic perception
(20:48) AI sentiment turns bearish due to massive spend with little revenue
(40:51) A16Z's 20K GPU cluster
(46:41) Broad implications of France elections
(1:06:10) Hot swap update: President Biden holds firm as backers flee, press corps chaos, speed-run primary chances
Apply for All-In Summit: https://summit.allinpodcast.co
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://twitter.com/Jason
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow on X:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
Follow on Instagram:
https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod
Follow on TikTok:
https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok
Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://x.com/teddyschleifer/status/1811423421861113915
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/11/cpi-inflation-report-june-2024.html
https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-071124/card/odds-of-a-september-rate-cut-jump-as-inflation-cools-Du34tNx5OPXwQpXrKTT2
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA
https://ycharts.com/indicators/sp_500_pe_ratio
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-news-poll-analysis-americans-rate-economy-partisan-lens
https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20240709188/heres-how-far-the-dow-has-fallen-behind-the-sp-500-so-far-in-2024
https://youtu.be/R6hJh-OwoZw
https://www.sequoiacap.com/article/ais-600b-question
https://www.goldmansachs.com/intelligence/pages/gs-research/gen-ai-too-much-spend-too-little-benefit/report.pdf
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/andreessen-horowitz-is-building-a-stash-of-more-than-20-000-gpus-to-win-ai-deals
https://x.com/natfriedman/status/1668650915505803266
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13594307/french-election-candidates-drop-rn-le-pen-victory.html
https://x.com/CilComLFC/status/1810110921383010563
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/10/opinion/joe-biden-democratic-nominee.html
https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2024/07/11/what-obama-and-pelosi-are-doing-about-biden-00167520
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/disastrous-biden-campaign-fundraising-takes-major-hit-rcna161214
https://x.com/greenfield64/status/1811199262350532767
https://x.com/Olivianuzzi/status/1808924240529535352
https://x.com/peterjhasson/status/1811052411584164210
https://youtu.be/kOeARghNIaY
https://www.semafor.com/article/07/07/2024/blitz-primary-could-open-up-democratic-race-if-biden-drops-out

(0:00) New format: The All-In Interview!
(0:59) Jonathan Haidt joins Jason and Friedberg: broader themes of his work, gamification and supercharged social media
(12:39) Understanding how humans are wired from an evolutionary biology perspective
(27:22) Haidt's proposals to help younger generations
(33:12) Linking themes and trends in Haidt's books with recent college protests
(48:17) Explaining traditional liberalism and conservatism
(56:55) Lightning Round: Parenting tips, Gen Z employees
Jonathan's website:
https://jonathanhaidt.com
Buy The Anxious Generation:
https://www.anxiousgeneration.com/book
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://twitter.com/Jason
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow on X:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
Follow on Instagram:
https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod
Follow on TikTok:
https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok
Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.anxiousgeneration.com/take-action
https://www.azquotes.com/quote/1385350
https://www.azquotes.com/quote/926752
https://www.thecoddling.com/chapter-1-antifragility
https://www.anxiousgeneration.com
https://www.afterbabel.com
https://letgrow.org

(0:00) Bestie Intros!
(5:51) Democrats and their donors are falling out; President Biden to resign? Will VP Harris be the nominee?
(26:22) Cognitive decline coverup, Bestie strategy for Dems
(34:38) SCOTUS clarifies social media moderation
(47:06) SCOTUS overturns Chevron, limiting the power of federal agencies
(1:00:03) SCOTUS to hear case on restricting online porn in Texas
(1:05:27) SCOTUS rules in favor of President Trump in immunity case
Join/host a meetup: https://app.getriver.io/all-in
Apply for All-In Summit: https://summit.allinpodcast.co
Follow the besties:
https://twitter.com/chamath
https://twitter.com/Jason
https://twitter.com/DavidSacks
https://twitter.com/friedberg
Follow on X:
https://twitter.com/theallinpod
Follow on Instagram:
https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod
Follow on TikTok:
https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok
Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/03/us/politics/biden-withdraw-election-debate.html
https://polymarket.com/event/will-biden-drop-out-of-presidential-race?tid=1720024531014
https://www.newsweek.com/putin-houthis-cruise-missiles-russia-yemen-1919434
https://www.ft.com/content/d431b97f-7431-4066-bd80-9dab3b215fea
https://www.axios.com/2024/06/30/top-aides-shielded-biden-white-house-debate
https://www.foxnews.com/media/stephanopoulos-snaps-nikki-haley-saying-biden-wont-finish-term-excuse-me-how-do-you-know
https://x.com/TheKevinDalton/status/1806669560852218045
https://x.com/0rf/status/1807620571934478683
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/supreme-court-social-media-laws-florida-texas
https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/22-277_d18f.pdf
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/supreme-court-justice-voting-decisions-2024-rcna151268
https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/22-451_7m58.pdf
https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/06/supreme-court-strikes-down-chevron-curtailing-power-of-federal-agencies
https://www.reuters.com/legal/us-supreme-court-hear-challenge-texas-age-verification-online-porn-2024-07-02
https://x.com/noalpha_allbeta/status/1808265251202167183
https://x.com/ewarren/status/1808241509738631388
https://www.axios.com/2019/06/01/supreme-court-justices-ideology
https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/06/02/supreme-court-justice-math-00152188
https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/23-939_e2pg.pdf
https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/07/justices-rule-trump-has-some-immunity-from-prosecution
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/qanon-shaman-sentenced-3-years-role-capitol-riot-rcna5825
https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1808558981457326368